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Distributions following a power-law are an ubiquitous phenomenon. Methods for determining the exponent of a power-law tail by graphical means are often used in practice but are intrinsically unreliable. Maximum likelihood estimators for the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-08-11 Heiko Bauke

A possibility to give strong mathematical definitions of outliers and heavy tailed distributions or their modification is discussed. Some alternatives for the notion of tail index are proposed. Key words: outliers, heavy tails, tail index.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Lev B. Klebanov

We survey some of the recent advances in mean estimation and regression function estimation. In particular, we describe sub-Gaussian mean estimators for possibly heavy-tailed data both in the univariate and multivariate settings. We focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

The replacement of indicator functions by integrated beta kernels in the definition of the empirical stable tail dependence function is shown to produce a smoothed version of the latter estimator with the same asymptotic distribution but…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Laleh Tafakori

We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

The reconstruction of the parameter of the model by the measurement of the random variable depending on this parameter is one of the main tasks of statistics. In the paper the notion of the statistically dual distributions is introduced.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. I. Bityukov , V. V. Smirnova , V. A. Taperechkina

To ensure that real-world infrastructure is safe and durable, systems are designed to not fail for any but the most rarely occurring parameter values. By only happening deep in the tails of the parameter distribution, failure probabilities…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Samuel Valiquette , Gwladys Toulemonde , Jean Peyhardi , Éric Marchand , Frédéric Mortier

We present an overview of possible reasons for the appearance of heavy-tailed distributions in applications to the natural sciences. These distributions include the laws of Pareto, Lotka, and some new ones. The reasons are illustrated using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-24 Lev B. Klebanov , Yulia V. Kuvaeva

Skew-elliptical distributions constitute a large class of multivariate distributions that account for both skewness and a variety of tail properties. This class has simpler representations in terms of densities rather than cumulative…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Harry Joe , Haijun Li

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Convolutions of long-tailed and subexponential distributions play a major role in the analysis of many stochastic systems. We study these convolutions, proving some important new results through a simple and coherent approach, and showing…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Stan Zachary

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

In this article, a discrete analogue of continuous Teissier distribution is presented. Its several important distributional characteristics have been derived. The estimation of the unknown parameter has been done using the method of maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Bhupendra Singh , Varun Agiwal , Ravindra Pratap Singh , Abhishek Tyagi

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

This paper contains sharp estimates about the distribution of multiple random integrals of functions of several variables with respect to a normalized empirical measure, about the distribution of U-statistics and multiple Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Major

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

The aim of a probabilistic output analysis is to derive a probability distribution of possible output values for a program from a probability distribution of its input. We present a method for performing static output analysis, based on…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Mads Rosendahl , Maja H. Kirkeby
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