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This paper presents the implementation of an advanced artificial intelligence-based algorithmic trading system specifically designed for the EUR-USD pair within the high-frequency environment of the Forex market. The methodological approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

While machine learning has revolutionized many fields such as natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision, its impact on time-series forecasting is still widely disputed, especially in the finance domain. This paper compares…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Aman Singh , Tokunbo Ogunfunmi , Sanjiv Das

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

A reliable long-term time-series forecaster is highly demanded in practice but comes across many challenges such as low computational and memory footprints as well as robustness against dynamic learning environments. This paper proposes…

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

A deep neural network (DNN)-based model has been developed to predict non-parametric distributions of durations of phonemes in specified phonetic contexts and used to explore which factors influence durations most. Major factors in US…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Xizi Wei , Melvyn Hunt , Adrian Skilling

Reliable gas price forecasts are an essential information for gas and energy traders, for risk managers and also economists. However, ahead of the war in Ukraine Europe began to suffer from substantially increased and volatile gas prices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Stephan Schlüter , Sven Pappert , Martin Neumann

This study examines the impact of the foreign exchange rate, i.e., US Dollar to Indian Rupee (USD/INR) on the Indian Stock Market Index (Nifty 50) during the demonetization of high denomination Indian currencies. A daily rate of return of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-15 N. Suresh , N. R. Bharathi

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

Recently artificial neural networks (ANNs) have seen success in volatility prediction, but the literature is divided on where an ANN should be used rather than the common GARCH model. The purpose of this study is to compare the volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Curtis Nybo

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

Overwhelming majority of econometric models applied on a long term basis in the financial forex market do not work sufficiently well. The reason is that transaction costs and arbitrage opportunity are not included, as this does not simulate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-23 Richard Pinčák , Erik Bartoš

We use techniques from network science to study correlations in the foreign exchange (FX) market over the period 1991--2008. We consider an FX market network in which each node represents an exchange rate and each weighted edge represents a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Accurate modeling of Short Fiber Reinforced Composites (SFRCs) remains computationally expensive for full-field simulations. Data-driven surrogate models using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been proposed as an efficient alternative…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Petter Uvdal , Mohsen Mirkhalaf