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The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

The construction and formal verification of dynamical models is important in engineering, biology and other disciplines. We focus on non-linear models containing a set of parameters governing their dynamics. The value of these parameters is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin , Sucheendra K. Palaniappan

This paper provides a general identification approach for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang

The predominant success of diffusion models in generative modeling has spurred significant interest in understanding their theoretical foundations. In this work, we propose a feature learning framework aimed at analyzing and comparing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Andi Han , Wei Huang , Yuan Cao , Difan Zou

We develop a methodology to learn finitely generated random iterated function systems from time-series of partial observations using delay embeddings. We obtain a minimal model representation for the observed dynamics, using a hidden…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Emilia Gibson , Jeroen S. W. Lamb

Live fish recognition is one of the most crucial elements of fisheries survey applications where vast amount of data are rapidly acquired. Different from general scenarios, challenges to underwater image recognition are posted by poor image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Meng-Che Chuang , Jenq-Neng Hwang , Kresimir Williams

We address the problem of estimating the inputs of a dynamical system from measurements of the system's outputs. To this end, we introduce a novel estimation algorithm that explicitly trades off bias and variance to optimally reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Sebastian Curi , Kfir Y. Levy , Andreas Krause

Probabilistic forecasting provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems by representing predictions as probability distributions rather than deterministic trajectories. However, existing forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Tianlin Yang , Hailiang Du , Louis Aslett

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Tobias Sutter , Andreas Krause , Daniel Kuhn

We present an approach to learn the dynamics of multiple objects from image sequences in an unsupervised way. We introduce a probabilistic model that first generate noisy positions for each object through a separate linear state-space…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Silvia Chiappa , Ulrich Paquet

This paper addresses the problem of learning linear dynamical systems from noisy observations. In this setting, existing algorithms either yield biased parameter estimates or have large sample complexities. We resolve these issues by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Yuyang Zhang , Xinhe Zhang , Jia Liu , Na Li

Many navigation problems can be formulated as observer design on linear observed systems with a two-frame group structure, on which an invariant filter can be implemented with guaranteed consistency and stability. It's still unclear how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Changwu Liu , Yuan Shen

In this paper, a first sample-based formulation of the recently considered population observers, or ensemble observers, which estimate the state distribution of dynamic populations from measurements of the output distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Shen Zeng

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Encoding a sequence of observations is an essential task with many applications. The encoding can become highly efficient when the observations are generated by a dynamical system. A dynamical system imposes regularities on the observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Arash Mehrjou , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe , Bernhard Schölkopf

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Mathematical modeling is an essential step, for example, to analyze the transient behavior of a dynamical process and to perform engineering studies such as optimization and control. With the help of first-principles and expert knowledge, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Accuracy and generalization capabilities are key objectives when learning dynamical system models. To obtain such models from limited data, current works exploit prior knowledge and assumptions about the system. However, the fusion of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-22 Björn Volkmann , Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Michael Meindl , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel