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This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

Topic popularity prediction in social networks has drawn much attention recently. Various elegant models have been proposed for this issue. However, different datasets and evaluation metrics they use lead to low comparability. So far there…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Yiming Zhang , Jiacheng Luo , Xiaofeng Gao , Guihai Chen

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Most news recommender systems try to identify users' interests and news' attributes and use them to obtain recommendations. Here we propose an adaptive model which combines similarities in users' rating patterns with epidemic-like spreading…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Tao Zhou

Studies conducted on financial market prediction lack a comprehensive feature set that can carry a broad range of contributing factors; therefore, leading to imprecise results. Furthermore, while cooperating with the most recent innovations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Amirhossein Aminimehr , Amin Aminimehr , Hamid Moradi Kamali , Sauleh Eetemadi , Saeid Hoseinzade

This paper goes into depth on the effect that US News Sentiment from national newspapers has on US interstate migration trends. Through harnessing data from the New York Times between 2010 and 2020, an average sentiment score was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Benjamin Lane , Simeon Sayer

This paper introduces the Hype Index as a novel metric to quantify media attention toward large-cap equities, leveraging advances in Natural Language Processing (NLP) for extracting predictive signals from financial news. Using the S&P 100…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Zheng Cao , Wanchaloem Wunkaew , Helyette Geman

Predicting future events is an important activity with applications across multiple fields and domains. For example, the capacity to foresee stock market trends, natural disasters, business developments, or political events can facilitate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Petraq Nako , Adam Jatowt

Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility, and the complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Akhila Mamillapalli , Bayode Ogunleye , Sonia Timoteo Inacio , Olamilekan Shobayo

Predicting the popularity of news article is a challenging task. Existing literature mostly focused on article contents and polarity to predict popularity. However, existing research has not considered the users' preference towards a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Roshni Chakraborty , Abhijeet Kharat , Apalak Khatua , Sourav Kumar Dandapat , Joydeep Chandra

It is reported that financial news, especially financial events expressed in news, provide information to investors' long/short decisions and influence the movements of stock markets. Motivated by this, we leverage financial event streams…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Xianchao Wu

We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Thársis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

We have explored different methods of improving the accuracy of a Naive Bayes classifier for sentiment analysis. We observed that a combination of methods like negation handling, word n-grams and feature selection by mutual information…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Vivek Narayanan , Ishan Arora , Arjun Bhatia

Predicting stock market is vital for investors and policymakers, acting as a barometer of the economic health. We leverage social media data, a potent source of public sentiment, in tandem with macroeconomic indicators as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Taoran Ji , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu

The use of robo-readers to analyze news texts is an emerging technology trend in computational finance. In recent research, a substantial effort has been invested to develop sophisticated financial polarity-lexicons that can be used to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2013-07-24 Pekka Malo , Ankur Sinha , Pyry Takala , Pekka Korhonen , Jyrki Wallenius

This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-17 Paolo Cremonesi , Chiara Francalanci , Alessandro Poli , Roberto Pagano , Luca Mazzoni , Alberto Maggioni , Mehdi Elahi

Sentiment Analysis of microblog feeds has attracted considerable interest in recent times. Most of the current work focuses on tweet sentiment classification. But not much work has been done to explore how reliable the opinions of the mass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Rahul Radhakrishnan Iyer , Ronghuo Zheng , Yuezhang Li , Katia Sycara