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News can convey bearish or bullish views on financial assets. Institutional investors need to evaluate automatically the implied news sentiment based on textual data. Given the huge amount of news articles published each day, most of which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Jianfei Zhang , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

This study conducted a comprehensive review of 71 papers published between 2000 and 2021 that employed various measures of investor sentiment to model returns. The analysis indicates that higher complexity of sentiment measures and models…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Szymon Lis

As the dynamic structure of the financial markets is subject to dramatic changes, a model capable of providing consistently accurate volatility estimates must not make strong assumptions on how prices change over time. Most volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-28 Wilson Ye Chen , Richard H. Gerlach

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular, generating high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods. Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Xuekui Zhang , Yuying Huang , Ke Xu , Li Xing

To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Thomas Forss , Peter Sarlin

This article introduces a Hype-Adjusted Probability Measure in the context of a new Natural Language Processing (NLP) approach for stock return and volatility forecasting. A novel sentiment score equation is proposed to represent the impact…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Zheng Cao , Helyette Geman

A major source of information can be taken from financial news articles, which have some correlations about the fluctuation of stock trends. In this paper, we investigate the influences of financial news on the stock trends, from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Yiqi Deng , Siu Ming Yiu

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

This study evaluates the scale-dependent informational efficiency of stock markets using the Financial Chaos Index, a tensor-eigenvalue-based measure of realized volatility. Incorporating Granger causality and network-theoretic analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-06 Masoud Ataei

Stocks can't be predicted. Despite many hopes, this premise held itself true for many years due to the nature of quantitative stock data lacking causal logic along with rapid market changes hindering accumulation of significant data for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Olivia Kim

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

This paper proposes an information retrieval method for the economy news. The effect of economy news, are researched in the word level and stock market values are considered as the ground proof. The correlation between stock market prices…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Sadi Evren Seker , Cihan Mert , Khaled Al-Naami , Nuri Ozalp , Ugur Ayan

By capturing the prevailing sentiment and market mood, textual data has become increasingly vital for forecasting commodity prices, particularly in metal markets. However, the effectiveness of lightweight, finetuned large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Alvaro Paredes Amorin , Andre Python , Christoph Weisser

Newsletters and social networks can reflect the opinion about the market and specific stocks from the perspective of analysts and the general public on products and/or services provided by a company. Therefore, sentiment analysis of these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Elvys Linhares Pontes , Mohamed Benjannet

We develop a resource-efficient methodology for measuring economic outlook in news text that combines document embeddings with synthetic training data generated by large language models. Applied to 27 million news articles, the resulting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Elliot Beck , Franziska Eckert , Linus Kühne , Helge Liebert , Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch

In this paper, we look at the impact of Environment, Social and Governance related news articles and social media data on the stock market performance. We pick four stocks of companies which are widely known in their domain to understand…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-04 Sudeep R. Bapat , Saumya Kothari , Rushil Bansal

We determine the amount of information contained in a time series of price returns at a given time scale, by using a widespread tool of the information theory, namely the Shannon entropy, applied to a symbolic representation of this time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

Mining financial text documents and understanding the sentiments of individual investors, institutions and markets is an important and challenging problem in the literature. Current approaches to mine sentiments from financial texts largely…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Srikumar Krishnamoorthy

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek
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