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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions using simulation rather than likelihood calculations. We introduce Gaussian process (GP) accelerated ABC, which we show can significantly reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-25 Richard D Wilkinson

In this paper we explore a quantitative and efficient method to constrain the halo properties of distant galaxy populations through ``galaxy--galaxy" lensing and show that the mean masses and sizes of halos can be estimated accurately,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Peter Schneider , Hans-Walter Rix

We infer mechanisms of galaxy formation for a broad family of semi-analytic models (SAMs) constrained by the K-band luminosity function and HI mass function of local galaxies using tools of Bayesian analysis. Even with a broad search in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Yu Lu , H. J. Mo , Zhankui Lu , Neal Katz , Martin D. Weinberg

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and synthetic likelihood (SL) techniques have enabled the use of Bayesian inference for models that may be simulated, but for which the likelihood cannot be evaluated pointwise at values of an unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-19 Richard G. Everitt

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). Indirect inference (II) is a classical likelihood-free approach that pre-dates the main developments of ABC and relies on simulation from a…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-07 Christopher C Drovandi

Also known as likelihood-free methods, approximate Bayesian computational (ABC) methods have appeared in the past ten years as the most satisfactory approach to untractable likelihood problems, first in genetics then in a broader spectrum…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder

Complex simulators have become a ubiquitous tool in many scientific disciplines, providing high-fidelity, implicit probabilistic models of natural and social phenomena. Unfortunately, they typically lack the tractability required for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Sebastian M Schmon , Patrick W Cannon , Jeremias Knoblauch

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a method to obtain a posterior distribution without a likelihood function, using simulations and a set of distance metrics. For that reason, it has recently been gaining popularity as an analysis…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-28 Tomasz Kacprzak , Jörg Herbel , Adam Amara , Alexandre Réfrégier

The errors of cosmological data generated from complex processes, such as the observational Hubble parameter data (OHD) and the Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) data, cannot be accurately modeled by simple analytical probability distributions,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-17 Yu-Chen Wang , Yuan-Bo Xie , Tong-Jie Zhang , Hui-Chao Huang , Tingting Zhang , Kun Liu

This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann

We present a method to produce mock galaxy catalogues with efficient perturbation theory schemes, which match the number density, power spectra and bispectra in real and in redshift space from N-body simulations. The essential contribution…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Francisco-Shu Kitaura , Héctor Gil-Marín , Claudia Scoccola , Chia-Hsun Chuang , Volker Müller , Gustavo Yepes , Francisco Prada

The forthcoming generation of galaxy redshift surveys will sample the large-scale structure of the Universe over unprecedented volumes with high-density tracers. This advancement will make robust measurements of three-point clustering…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-29 Andrea Oddo , Emiliano Sefusatti , Cristiano Porciani , Pierluigi Monaco , Ariel G. Sánchez

Conventional approaches to cosmology inference from galaxy redshift surveys are based on n-point functions, which are under rigorous perturbative control on sufficiently large scales. Here, we present an alternative approach, which employs…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-23 Fabian Schmidt , Franz Elsner , Jens Jasche , Nhat Minh Nguyen , Guilhem Lavaux

ABC algorithms are notoriously expensive in computing time, as they require simulating many complete artificial datasets from the model. We advocate in this paper a "divide and conquer" approach to ABC, where we split the likelihood into n…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-02 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin , Vincent Cottet

In this paper we show that there is a link between approximate Bayesian methods and prior robustness. We show that what is typically recognized as an approximation to the likelihood, either due to the simulated data as in the Approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Chaitanya Joshi , Fabrizio Ruggeri

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

We propose a novel approach for solving inverse-problems with high-dimensional inputs and an expensive forward mapping. It leverages joint deep generative modelling to transfer the original problem spaces to a lower dimensional latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Eliane Maalouf , David Ginsbourger , Niklas Linde

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson