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Pricing actuaries typically operate within the framework of generalized linear models (GLMs). With the upswing of data analytics, our study puts focus on machine learning methods to develop full tariff plans built from both the frequency…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-04 Roel Henckaerts , Marie-Pier Côté , Katrien Antonio , Roel Verbelen

The exponential moving average (EMA) is a commonly used statistic for providing stable estimates of stochastic quantities in deep learning optimization. Recently, EMA has seen considerable use in generative models, where it is computed with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jonathan Patsenker , Henry Li , Yuval Kluger

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

Nowadays new technologies, and especially artificial intelligence, are more and more established in our society. Big data analysis and machine learning, two sub-fields of artificial intelligence, are at the core of many recent breakthroughs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Antonio Sutera

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

The efficacy of particle identification is compared using artificial neutral networks and boosted decision trees. The comparison is performed in the context of the MiniBooNE, an experiment at Fermilab searching for neutrino oscillations.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Byron P. Roe , Hai-Jun Yang , Ji Zhu , Yong Liu , Ion Stancu , Gordon McGregor

Decision trees are widely used for interpretable machine learning due to their clearly structured reasoning process. However, this structure belies a challenge we refer to as predictive equivalence: a given tree's decision boundary can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Hayden McTavish , Zachery Boner , Jon Donnelly , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin

Tree ensembles (TEs) find a multitude of practical applications. They represent one of the most general and accurate classes of machine learning methods. While they are typically quite concise in representation, their operation remains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Yacine Izza , Alexey Ignatiev , Xuanxiang Huang , Peter J. Stuckey , Joao Marques-Silva

We propose a variable splitting binary tree (VSBT) model based on Bayesian context tree (BCT) models for time series segmentation. Unlike previous applications of BCT models, the tree structure in our model represents interval partitioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Kohei Horinouchi , Koshi Shimada , Naoki Ichijo , Manabu Kobayashi , Toshiyasu Matsushima

The decision tree recursively partitions the input space into regions and derives axis-aligned decision boundaries from data. Despite its simplicity and interpretability, decision trees lack parameterized representation, which makes it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Jinxiong Zhang

As the size, complexity, and availability of data continues to grow, scientists are increasingly relying upon black-box learning algorithms that can often provide accurate predictions with minimal a priori model specifications. Tools like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-10 Lucas Mentch , Siyu Zhou

Decision Trees are prominent prediction models for interpretable Machine Learning. They have been thoroughly researched, mostly in the batch setting with a fixed labelled dataset, leading to popular algorithms such as C4.5, ID3 and CART.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Ayman Chaouki , Jesse Read , Albert Bifet

Decision trees and random forest remain highly competitive for classification on medium-sized, standard datasets due to their robustness, minimal preprocessing requirements, and interpretability. However, a single tree suffers from high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Cencheng Shen , Yuexiao Dong , Carey E. Priebe

Functional data analysis (FDA) and ensemble learning can be powerful tools for analyzing complex environmental time series. Recent literature has highlighted the key role of diversity in enhancing accuracy and reducing variance in ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Donato Riccio , Fabrizio Maturo , Elvira Romano

Hierarchical latent tree analysis (HLTA) is recently proposed as a new method for topic detection. It differs fundamentally from the LDA-based methods in terms of topic definition, topic-document relationship, and learning method. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-06 Peixian Chen , Nevin L. Zhang , Leonard K. M. Poon , Zhourong Chen

Gradient boosted decision trees (GBDT) is the leading algorithm for many commercial and academic data applications. We give a deep analysis of this algorithm, especially the histogram technique, which is a basis for the regulized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Yingshi Chen

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) is a very important factor in the transportation system. It has attracted increasing attentions and has been widely used as a basic service in navigation systems and intelligent transportation systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 YuRui Huang , Jie Zhang , HengDa Bao , Yang Yang , Jian Yang

Two popular boosted decsion tree (BDT) methods, Adaptive BDT (AdaBDT) and Gradient BDT (GradBDT) are studied in the classification problem of separating signal from background assuming all trees are weak learners. The following results are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-13 Li-Gang Xia

Testing and evaluation is an important step before the large-scale application of the autonomous driving systems (ADSs). Based on the three level of scenario abstraction theory, a testing can be performed within a logical scenario, followed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Xinzheng Wu , Junyi Chen , Jianfeng Wu , Longgao Zhang , Tian Xia , Yong Shen

Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance $x$ the nearest instance $x'$ such that the classifier predictions of $x$ and $x'$ are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-30 Alex Kantchelian , J. D. Tygar , Anthony D. Joseph