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Arcade processes are a class of continuous stochastic processes that interpolate in a strong sense, i.e., omega by omega, between zeros at fixed pre-specified times. Their additive randomisation allows one to match any finite sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Georges Kassis , Andrea Macrina

We study properties of a subclass of Markov processes that have all moments that are continuous functions of the time parameter and more importantly are characterized by the property that say their $n-$th conditional moment given the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Paweł J. Szabłowski

In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Stefan Gerhold , Paul Krühner

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process indexed by a class of functions is established. Two scenarios are considered in which either some smoothness of these functions or smoothness of the underlying copula function is required. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Dragan Radulovic , Marten Wegkamp , Yue Zhao

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

A regime-switching multivariate time series model which is closed under margins is built. The model imposes a restriction on all lower-dimensional sub-processes to follow a regime-switching process sharing the same latent regime sequence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Lin Zhang , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde

We study a class of stationary Markov processes with marginal distributions identifiable by moments such that every conditional moment of degree say $m$ is a polynomial of degree at most $m\;\text{.}\;$ We show that then under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Paweł J. Szabłowski

Using the Feynman-Kac and Cameron-Martin-Girsanov formulas, we obtain a generalized integral fluctuation theorem (GIFT) for discrete jump processes by constructing a time-invariable inner product. The existing discrete IFTs can be derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-11 Fei Liu , Yu-Pin Luo , Ming-Chang Huang , Zhong-can Ou-Yang

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

In this work, an approximate family of implicit multiderivative Runge-Kutta (MDRK) time integrators for stiff initial value problems is presented. The approximation procedure is based on the recent Approximate Implicit Taylor method (Baeza…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Jeremy Chouchoulis , Jochen Schütz

We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung

Replacing Black-Scholes' driving process, Brownian motion, with fractional Brownian motion allows for incorporation of a past dependency of stock prices but faces a few major downfalls, including the occurrence of arbitrage when implemented…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 Daniel Conus , Mackenzie Wildman

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of diffusion processes is revisited. An integration by parts formula is derived for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process in an abstract space. It leads to a time reversal formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Patrick Cattiaux , Giovanni Conforti , Ivan Gentil , Christian Léonard

In this paper, we introduce different concepts of Granger causality and contemporaneous correlation for multivariate stationary continuous-time processes to model different dependencies between the component processes. Several equivalent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Lea Schenk

We propose a method for inferring the conditional indepen- dence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional discrete-time Gaus- sian vector random process from finite-length observations. Our approach does not rely on a parametric model (such as,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-11 Alexander Jung , Reinhard Heckel , Helmut Bölcskei , Franz Hlawatsch

We construct marked Gibbs point processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ under quite general assumptions. Firstly, we allow for interaction functionals that may be unbounded and whose range is not assumed to be uniformly bounded. Indeed, our typical…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Sylvie Roelly , Alexander Zass

An infinite system of point particles placed in $\mathds{R}^d$ is studied. Its constituents perform random jumps with mutual repulsion described by a translation-invariant jump kernel and interaction potential, respectively. The pure states…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Yuri Kozitsky , Michael Röckner

We introduce and study a multiparameter Poisson process (MPP). In a particular case, it is observed that the MPP has a unique representation. Its subordination with the multivariate subordinator and inverse subordinator are studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 P. Vishwakarma , K. K. Kataria

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

A single-index model (SIM) provides for parsimonious multi-dimensional nonlinear regression by combining parametric (linear) projection with univariate nonparametric (non-linear) regression models. We show that a particular Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-18 Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian
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