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In a variety of problems in pure and applied probability, it is of relevant to study the large exceedance probabilities of the perpetuity sequence $Y_n := B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1 \cdots A_{n-1}) B_n$, where $(A_i,B_i) \subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Jeffrey F. Collamore , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

For a centered $d$-dimensional Gaussian random vector $\xi =(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_d)$ and a homogeneous function $h:R^d\to R$ we derive asymptotic expansions for the tail of the Gaussian chaos $h(\xi)$ given the function $h$ is sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dmitry Korshunov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Let $X(t),t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a stochastically continuous stationary max-stable process with Fr\'{e}chet marginals $\Phi_\alpha, \alpha>0$ and set $M_X(T)=\sup_{t \in [0,T]} X(t),T>0$. In the light of the seminal articles [1,2], it follows…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva

Under K.-T. Sturm's formulation, we obtain a Gaussian upper bound for tail probability of mean value of independent, identically distributed random variables with values in $\mathbb{R}$-trees and Hadamard manifolds.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-04 Kei Funano

We study probability inequalities leading to tail estimates in a general semigroup $\mathscr{G}$ with a translation-invariant metric $d_{\mathscr{G}}$. (An important and central example of this in the functional analysis literature is that…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Apoorva Khare , Bala Rajaratnam

This paper presents precise large deviation estimates for solutions to stochastic fixed point equations of the type V =_d f(V), where f(v) = Av + g(v) for a random function g(v) = o(v) a.s. as v tends to infinity. Specifically, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We generalize the proof of Karamata's Theorem by the method of approximation by polynomials to the operator case. As a consequence, we offer a simple proof of \emph{uniform dual ergodicity} for a very large class of dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Ian Melbourne , Dalia Terhesiu

This note presents a proof that the non-tangential maximal function of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck semigroup is bounded almost surely by the Gaussian Hardy-Littlewood maximal function. In particular this entails improvement on a result by Pineda…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Jonas Teuwen

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Dominyka Kievinaitė , Jonas Šiaulys

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

Let $X$ be a standard Gaussian random variable. For any $p \in (1, \infty)$, we prove the existence of a universal constant $C_{p}>0$ such that the inequality $$(\mathbb{E} |h'(X)|^{p})^{1/p} \geq C_{p} \sqrt{d} (\mathbb{E}…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Alexandros Eskenazis , Paata Ivanisvili

We study the tail of $p(U)$, the probability distribution of $U=\vert\psi(0,L)\vert^2$, for $\ln U\gg 1$, $\psi(x,z)$ being the solution to $\partial_z\psi -\frac{i}{2m}\nabla_{\perp}^2 \psi =g\vert S\vert^2\, \psi$, where $S(x,z)$ is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-01 Philippe Mounaix

We derive upper bounds for probabilities of the form $P(g(\mathbf{X})\geq t)$ using the southwest boundary (recently introduced in our previous work) $\partial_{\mathrm{SW}} Q(g^{-1}[t,\infty))$, where $Q$ is a reflection to the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Stephen Jordan Harrison

Random matrices acting on structured sets play a fundamental role in high-dimensional geometry, compressed sensing, and randomized algorithms. Existing results primarily focus on subgaussian models, when random matrices act as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Tiankun Diao , Xuanang Hu , Vladimir V. Ulyanov , Hanchao Wang

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

For an $N \times T$ random matrix $X(\beta)$ with weakly dependent uniformly sub-Gaussian entries $x_{it}(\beta)$ that may depend on a possibly infinite-dimensional parameter $\beta\in \mathbf{B}$, we obtain a uniform bound on its operator…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Grigory Franguridi , Hyungsik Roger Moon

In this paper, we study estimates on tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}(S_r \ge t)$ of several classes of subordinators under mild assumptions on the tail of its L\'evy measure. As an application of that result, we obtain two-sided estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim

We prove that for Gaussian random normal matrices the correlation function has universal behavior. Using the technique of orthogonal polynomials and identities similar to the Christoffel-Darboux formula, we find that in the limit, as the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-03 Roman Riser

Under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck semigroup $\{U_t\}$, any non-negative measurable $f : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R_+$ exhibits a uniform tail bound better than that implied by Markov's inequality and conservation of mass: For every $\alpha \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ronen Eldan , James R. Lee
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