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A probabilistic program defines a probability measure over its semantic structures. One common goal of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) is to compute posterior probabilities for arbitrary models and queries, given observed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-01 Yi Wu , Lei Li , Stuart Russell , Rastislav Bodik

We define a probabilistic programming language for Gaussian random variables with a first-class exact conditioning construct. We give operational, denotational and equational semantics for this language, establishing convenient properties…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Dario Stein , Sam Staton

Probabilistic techniques are central to data analysis, but different approaches can be difficult to apply, combine, and compare. This paper introduces composable generative population models (CGPMs), a computational abstraction that extends…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Feras Saad , Vikash Mansinghka

Affective Computing is a rapidly growing field spurred by advancements in artificial intelligence, but often, held back by the inability to translate psychological theories of emotion into tractable computational models. To address this, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Desmond C. Ong , Harold Soh , Jamil Zaki , Noah D. Goodman

Today's probabilistic language generators fall short when it comes to producing coherent and fluent text despite the fact that the underlying models perform well under standard metrics, e.g., perplexity. This discrepancy has puzzled the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Clara Meister , Tiago Pimentel , Gian Wiher , Ryan Cotterell

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Probabilistic programming offers a powerful framework for modeling uncertainty, yet statistical model discovery in this domain entails navigating an immense search space under strict domain-specific constraints. When small language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Madhav Kanda , Shubham Ugare , Sasa Misailovic

Probabilistic programming has become a standard practice to model stochastic events and learn about the behavior of nature in different scientific contexts, ranging from Genetics and Ecology to Linguistics and Psychology. However, domain…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Guilherme Espada , Alcides Fonseca

Arguing for the need to combine declarative and probabilistic programming, B\'ar\'any et al. (TODS 2017) recently introduced a probabilistic extension of Datalog as a "purely declarative probabilistic programming language." We revisit this…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Martin Grohe , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Peter Lindner

The field of statistical relational learning aims at unifying logic and probability to reason and learn from data. Perhaps the most successful paradigm in the field is probabilistic logic programming: the enabling of stochastic primitives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Stefanie Speichert , Vaishak Belle

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

This report outlines an approach to learning generative models from data. We express models as probabilistic programs, which allows us to capture abstract patterns within the examples. By choosing our language for programs to be an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-27 Irvin Hwang , Andreas Stuhlmüller , Noah D. Goodman

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

This paper describes a new method for Symbolic Regression that allows to find mathematical expressions from a dataset. This method has a strong mathematical basis. As opposed to other methods such as Genetic Programming, this method is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Daniel Rivero , Enrique Fernandez-Blanco

Probabilistic Answer Set Programming under the credal semantics (PASP) extends Answer Set Programming with probabilistic facts that represent uncertain information. The probabilistic facts are discrete with Bernoulli distributions. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Damiano Azzolini , Fabrizio Riguzzi

Invariants are a set of properties over program attributes that are expected to be true during the execution of a program. Since developing those invariants manually can be costly and challenging, there are a myriad of approaches that…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Meriel Stein , Sebastian Elbaum , Lu Feng , Shili Sheng

Probabilistic logic programs are logic programs in which some of the facts are annotated with probabilities. This paper investigates how classical inference and learning tasks known from the graphical model community can be tackled for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Daan Fierens , Guy Van den Broeck , Joris Renkens , Dimitar Shterionov , Bernd Gutmann , Ingo Thon , Gerda Janssens , Luc De Raedt

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

Bayesian inference involves the specification of a statistical model by a statistician or practitioner, with careful thought about what each parameter represents. This results in particularly interpretable models which can be used to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Jonathan Law , Darren Wilkinson