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The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

In pursuit of explainability, we develop generative models for sequential data. The proposed models provide state-of-the-art classification results and robust performance for speech phone classification. We combine modern neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Anubhab Ghosh , Antoine Honoré , Dong Liu , Gustav Eje Henter , Saikat Chatterjee

State Space Models (SSMs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are foundational frameworks for modeling sequential data with latent variables and are widely used in signal processing, control theory, and machine learning. Despite their shared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aydin Ghojogh , M. Hadi Sepanj , Benyamin Ghojogh

We test the robustness of a maximum-likelihood (ML) based classifier where sequential data as observation is corrupted by noise. The hypothesis is that a generative model, that combines the state transitions of a hidden Markov model (HMM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Anubhab Ghosh , Antoine Honoré , Dong Liu , Gustav Eje Henter , Saikat Chatterjee

The conformational kinetics of enzymes can be reliably revealed when they are governed by Markovian dynamics. Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are appropriate especially in the case of conformational states that are hardly distinguishable.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-05 A. Kovalev , N. Zarrabi , F. Werz , M. Boersch , Z. Ristic , H. Lill , D. Bald , C. Tietz , J. Wrachtrup

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a generative model that treats sequential data under the assumption that each observation is conditioned on the state of a discrete hidden variable that evolves in time as a Markov chain. In this paper, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-07 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and their extensions have proven to be powerful tools for classification of observations that stem from systems with temporal dependence as they take into account that observations close in time are likely…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Sofia Ruiz-Suarez , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Juan Manuel Morales

Model precision in a classification task is highly dependent on the feature space that is used to train the model. Moreover, whether the features are sequential or static will dictate which classification method can be applied as most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Anna Leontjeva , Ilya Kuzovkin

Neural sequence-to-sequence TTS has achieved significantly better output quality than statistical speech synthesis using HMMs. However, neural TTS is generally not probabilistic and uses non-monotonic attention. Attention failures increase…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Shivam Mehta , Éva Székely , Jonas Beskow , Gustav Eje Henter

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a ubiquitous tool to model time series data, and have been widely used in two main tasks of Automatic Music Transcription (AMT): note segmentation, i.e. identifying the played notes after a multi-pitch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-13 D. Cazau , G. Nuel

Many of the current state-of-the-art Large Vocabulary Continuous Speech Recognition Systems (LVCSR) are hybrids of neural networks and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Most of these systems contain separate components that deal with the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dzmitry Bahdanau , Jan Chorowski , Dmitriy Serdyuk , Philemon Brakel , Yoshua Bengio

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic functions of finite Markov chains, or, put in other words, state space models with finite state space. In this paper, we examine subspace estimation methods for HMMs whose output lies a finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Sofia Andersson , Tobias Rydén

Labeling of sequential data is a prevalent meta-problem for a wide range of real world applications. While the first-order Hidden Markov Models (HMM) provides a fundamental approach for unsupervised sequential labeling, the basic model does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Maoying Qiao , Wei Bian , Richard Yida Xu , Dacheng Tao

Speech Recognition searches to predict the spoken words automatically. These systems are known to be very expensive because of using several pre-recorded hours of speech. Hence, building a model that minimizes the cost of the recognizer…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Siwar Jendoubi , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane , Arnaud Martin

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are fundamental for modeling sequential data, yet learning their parameters from observations remains challenging. Classical methods like the Baum-Welch algorithm are computationally intensive and prone to local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Reginald Zhiyan Chen , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

We propose a Neural Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with Adaptive Granularity Attention (AGA) for high-frequency order flow modeling. The model addresses the challenge of capturing multi-scale temporal dynamics in financial markets, where…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Tianzuo Hu

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) provide a powerful approach in neuroscience to infer latent dynamics in neural populations and to generate hypotheses about the neural computations underlying behavior. However, past work has focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Elia Torre , Michele Viscione , Lucas Pompe , Benjamin F Grewe , Valerio Mante