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We consider the strongly consistent question for model selection in a large class of causal time series models, including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH and many classical others processes. We propose a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-21 William Kengne

Independent or i.i.d. innovations is an essential assumption in the literature for analyzing a vector time series. However, this assumption is either too restrictive for a real-life time series to satisfy or is hard to verify through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Yunyi Zhang

Deep neural networks suffer from significant performance degradation when exposed to common corruptions such as noise, blur, weather, and digital distortions, limiting their reliability in real-world applications. In this paper, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Fuyuan Zhang , Qichen Wang , Jianjun Zhao

In performative Reinforcement Learning (RL), an agent faces a policy-dependent environment: the reward and transition functions depend on the agent's policy. Prior work on performative RL has studied the convergence of repeated retraining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Vasilis Pollatos , Debmalya Mandal , Goran Radanovic

We study the problem of Robust Least Squares Regression (RLSR) where several response variables can be adversarially corrupted. More specifically, for a data matrix X \in R^{p x n} and an underlying model w*, the response vector is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Purushottam Kar

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

A new Lossy Causal Temporal Convolutional Neural Network Autoencoder for anomaly detection is proposed in this work. Our framework uses a rate-distortion loss and an entropy bottleneck to learn a compressed latent representation for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Christopher P. Ley , Jorge F. Silva

Many modern datasets are collected automatically and are thus easily contaminated by outliers. This led to a regain of interest in robust estimation, including new notions of robustness such as robustness to adversarial contamination of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Pierre Alquier , Mathieu Gerber

We study the problem of learning Bayesian networks where an $\epsilon$-fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. We focus on the fully-observable case where the underlying graph structure is known. In this work, we present the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Yu Cheng , Honghao Lin

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

Structural failure time models are causal models for estimating the effect of time-varying treatments on a survival outcome. G-estimation and artificial censoring have been proposed to estimate the model parameters in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Shu Yang , Karen Pieper , Frank Cools

In this paper, we consider a linear regression model with AR(p) error terms with the assumption that the error terms have a t distribution as a heavy tailed alternative to the normal distribution. We obtain the estimators for the model…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Yetkin Tuaç , Yeşim Güney Birdal Şenoğlu , Olcay Arslan

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

High-dimensional linear regression under heavy-tailed noise or outlier corruption is challenging, both computationally and statistically. Convex approaches have been proven statistically optimal but suffer from high computational costs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Yinan Shen , Jingyang Li , Jian-Feng Cai , Dong Xia

The robustness to noise and outliers is an important issue in linear representation in real applications. We focus on the problem that samples are grossly corrupted, which is also the 'sample specific' corruptions problem. A reasonable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-12-14 Wei-Ya Ren

Sparse deep learning has become a popular technique for improving the performance of deep neural networks in areas such as uncertainty quantification, variable selection, and large-scale network compression. However, most existing research…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mingxuan Zhang , Yan Sun , Faming Liang

Probabilistic time series forecasting has played critical role in decision-making processes due to its capability to quantify uncertainties. Deep forecasting models, however, could be prone to input perturbations, and the notion of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 TaeHo Yoon , Youngsuk Park , Ernest K. Ryu , Yuyang Wang

Large outliers break down linear and nonlinear regression models. Robust regression methods allow one to filter out the outliers when building a model. By replacing the traditional least squares criterion with the least trimmed squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Gleb Beliakov , Andrei Kelarev , John Yearwood