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The best subset selection (or "best subsets") estimator is a classic tool for sparse regression, and developments in mathematical optimization over the past decade have made it more computationally tractable than ever. Notwithstanding its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Ryan Thompson

We consider high dimensional sparse regression, and develop strategies able to deal with arbitrary -- possibly, severe or coordinated -- errors in the covariance matrix $X$. These may come from corrupted data, persistent experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-15 Yudong Chen , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor

Real data are rarely pure. Hence the past half-century has seen great interest in robust estimation algorithms that perform well even when part of the data is corrupt. However, their vast majority approach optimal accuracy only when given a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Ayush Jain , Alon Orlitsky , Vaishakh Ravindrakumar

We apply methods from randomized numerical linear algebra (RandNLA) to develop improved algorithms for the analysis of large-scale time series data. We first develop a new fast algorithm to estimate the leverage scores of an autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ali Eshragh , Fred Roosta , Asef Nazari , Michael W. Mahoney

We study fast algorithms for statistical regression problems under the strong contamination model, where the goal is to approximately optimize a generalized linear model (GLM) given adversarially corrupted samples. Prior works in this line…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Arun Jambulapati , Jerry Li , Tselil Schramm , Kevin Tian

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

We present an adaptive approach for robust learning from corrupted training sets. We identify corrupted and non-corrupted samples with latent Bernoulli variables and thus formulate the learning problem as maximization of the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-17 Aleksandr Karakulev , Dave Zachariah , Prashant Singh

Robust Anomaly Detection (AD) on time series data is a key component for monitoring many complex modern systems. These systems typically generate high-dimensional time series that can be highly noisy, seasonal, and inter-correlated. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Farzaneh Khoshnevisan , Zhewen Fan , Vitor R. Carvalho

Causal inference on time series data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of unobserved confounders. This work focuses on estimating the causal effect between two time series that are confounded by a third, unobserved time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Felix Schur , Jonas Peters

Robust regression models in the presence of outliers have significant practical relevance in areas such as signal processing, financial econometrics, and energy management. Many existing robust regression methods, either grounded in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-30 Pengyang Song , Jue Wang

Time series data occurs widely, and outlier detection is a fundamental problem in data mining, which has numerous applications. Existing autoencoder-based approaches deliver state-of-the-art performance on challenging real-world data but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Tung Kieu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Yan Zhao , Feiteng Huang , Kai Zheng

Subsampling methods have been recently proposed to speed up least squares estimation in large scale settings. However, these algorithms are typically not robust to outliers or corruptions in the observed covariates. The concept of influence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-20 Brian McWilliams , Gabriel Krummenacher , Mario Lucic , Joachim M. Buhmann

We give the first polynomial-time algorithm for performing linear or polynomial regression resilient to adversarial corruptions in both examples and labels. Given a sufficiently large (polynomial-size) training set drawn i.i.d. from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Adam Klivans , Pravesh K. Kothari , Raghu Meka

Time series prediction with missing values is an important problem of time series analysis since complete data is usually hard to obtain in many real-world applications. To model the generation of time series, autoregressive (AR) model is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Xi Chen , Hongzhi Wang , Yanjie Wei , Jianzhong Li , Hong Gao

High order momentum-based parameter update algorithms have seen widespread applications in training machine learning models. Recently, connections with variational approaches have led to the derivation of new learning algorithms with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , José M. Moreu , Michael A. Bolender , Travis E. Gibson

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

In this paper, we introduce an algebraic method to construct stable and consistent univariate autoregressive (AR) models of low order for filtering and predicting nonlinear turbulent signals with memory depth. By stable, we refer to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 John Harlim , Hoon Hong , Jacob L. Robbins

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado