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We study a system of $N$ interacting particles on $\bf{Z}$. The stochastic dynamics consists of two components: a free motion of each particle (independent random walks) and a pair-wise interaction between particles. The interaction belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-25 A. Manita , V. Shcherbakov

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

We consider an elementary model for self-organised criticality, the activated random walk on the complete graph. We introduce a discrete time Markov chain as follows. At each time step, we add an active particle at a random vertex and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Antal A. Járai , Christian Mönch , Lorenzo Taggi

In this paper, we consider the stability analysis of large-scale distributed networked control systems with random communication delays between linearly interconnected subsystems. The stability analysis is performed in the Markov jump…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Raktim Bhattacharya

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We make use of matrix representations of completely positive maps in order to study open quantum dynamics on graphs, with emphasis on quantum walks and the associated trajectories obtained via a monitoring of the position. We discuss the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-01-08 Carlos F. Lardizabal

Critical transitions occur in a variety of dynamical systems. Here, we employ quantifiers of chaos to identify changes in the dynamical structure of complex systems preceding critical transitions. As suitable indicator variables for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-27 Nahal Sharafi , Marc Timme , Sarah Hallerberg

The preparation of the stationary distribution of irreducible, time-reversible Markov chains is a fundamental building block in many heuristic approaches to algorithmically hard problems. It has been conjectured that quantum analogs of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-20 Vedran Dunjko , Hans J. Briegel

We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Thao Le , Robbert van der Burg , Bernd Heidergott , Ines Lindner , Alessandro Zocca

A goal of systems biology is to understand the dynamics of intracellular systems. Stochastic chemical kinetic models are often utilized to accurately capture the stochastic nature of these systems due to low numbers of molecules. Collecting…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jarad Niemi , Matthew Wheeler

Graph pattern matching algorithms to handle million-scale dynamic graphs are widely used in many applications such as social network analytics and suspicious transaction detections from financial networks. On the other hand, the computation…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Hiroki Kanezashi , Toyotaro Suzumura , Dario Garcia-Gasulla , Min-hwan Oh , Satoshi Matsuoka

Sequential transitions between metastable states are ubiquitously observed in the neural system and underlie various cognitive functions. Although a number of studies with asymmetric Hebbian connectivity have investigated how such sequences…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-03-03 Tomoki Kurikawa , Kunihiko Kaneko

Dynamic graphs refer to graphs whose structure dynamically changes over time. Despite the benefits of learning vertex representations (i.e., embeddings) for dynamic graphs, existing works merely view a dynamic graph as a sequence of changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Yu Yang , Hongzhi Yin , Jiannong Cao , Tong Chen , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Xiaofang Zhou , Lei Chen

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Consider a sequence of continuous-time Markov chains $(X^{(n)}_t:t\ge 0)$ evolving on a fixed finite state space $V$. Let $I_n$ be the level two large deviations rate functional for $X^{(n)}_t$, as $t\to\infty$. Under a hypothesis on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 C. Landim

This paper introduces graphemes for constructing and analyzing stochastic processes that describe the evolution of large dynamic graphs. Unlike graphons, which capture the static properties of dense graphs via exchangeability or subgraph…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander , Anton Klimovsky , Anita Winter

In this paper we investigate the application of non-local graph entropy to evolving and dynamical graphs. The measure is based upon the notion of Markov diffusion on a graph, and relies on the entropy applied to trajectories originating at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-27 Francesco Caravelli

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke