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In this paper we study the distribution of hitting times for a class of random dynamical systems. We prove that for invariant measures with super-polynomial decay of correlations hitting times to dynamically defined cylinders satisfy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Jerome Rousseau , Benoit Saussol , Paulo Varandas

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

In this paper we study the distribution of hitting and return times for observations of dynamical systems. We apply this results to get an exponential law for the distribution of hitting and return times for rapidly mixing random dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Jerome Rousseau

We prove extreme value laws for cusp excursions of the horocycle flow in the case of surfaces of constant negative curvature. The key idea of our approach is to study the hitting time distribution for shrinking Poincar\'e sections that have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Jens Marklof , Mark Pollicott

We show that the entry and return times for dynamic balls (Bowen balls) is exponential for systems that have an $\alpha$-mixing invariant measure with certain regularities. We also show that systems modeled by Young's tower has exponential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Nicolai Haydn , Fan Yang

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

We consider the return times dynamics to Bowen balls for continuous maps on metric spaces which have invariant probability measures with certain mixing properties. These mixing properties are satisfied for instance by systems that allow…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Nicolai Haydn , Fan Yang

The perceived randomness in the time evolution of "chaotic" dynamical systems can be characterized by universal probabilistic limit laws, which do not depend on the fine features of the individual system. One important example is the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-09-21 Carl P. Dettmann , Jens Marklof , Andreas Strömbergsson

We consider random dynamical systems on manifolds modeled by a skew product which have certain geometric properties and whose measures satisfy quenched decay of correlations at a sufficient rate. We prove that the limiting distribution for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Nicolai Haydn , Jerome Rousseau , Fan Yang

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

We discuss how an eigenvalue perturbation formula for transfer operators of dynamical systems is related to exponential hitting time distributions and extreme value theory for processes generated by chaotic dynamical systems. We also list a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Gerhard Keller

We establish an extreme value theorem for the geodesic flow on the hyperbolic surface $\Theta\backslash\mathbb{H}^2$ associated with the theta group $\Theta$. To capture excursions into both cusps of this surface, we introduce a generalized…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Jaelin Kim , Seul Bee Lee , Seonhee Lim

We consider random walks on the line given by a sequence of independent identically distributed jumps belonging to the strict domain of attraction of a stable distribution, and first determine the almost sure exponential divergence rate, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Francoise Pene , Benoît Saussol , Roland Zweimüller

We study the distribution of the occurrence of rare patterns in sufficiently mixing Gibbs random fields on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$. A typical example is the high temperature Ising model. This distribution is shown to converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 M. Abadi , J. -R. Chazottes , F. Redig , E. Verbitskiy

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

We discuss limit distributions for hitting-time functions of certain exceptional families of asymptotically rare events for ergodic probability preserving transformations. The abstract core is an inducing argument. The latter applies, for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Roland Zweimüller

It has been shown that sufficiently well mixing dynamical systems with positive entropy have extreme value laws which in the limit converge to one of the three standard distributions known for i.i.d. processes, namely Gumbel, Fr\'echet and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Nicolai Haydn , Michal Kupsa

In this note, we obtain verifiable sufficient conditions for the extreme value distribution for a certain class of skew product extensions of non-uniformly hyperbolic base maps. We show that these conditions, formulated in terms of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Chinmaya Gupta

We argue that the transition to turbulence is controlled by large amplitude events that follow extreme distribution theory. The theory suggests an explanation for recent observations of the turbulent state lifetime which exhibit…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Nigel Goldenfeld , Nicholas Guttenberg , Gustavo Gioia

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz
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