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Related papers: Bayesian Attack Model for Dynamic Risk Assessment

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While attack graphs are useful for identifying major cybersecurity threats affecting a system, they do not provide operational support for determining the likelihood of having a known vulnerability exploited, or that critical system nodes…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Francesco Vitale , Simone Guarino , Stefano Perone , Massimiliano Rak , Nicola Mazzocca

Attack graphs are commonly used to analyse the security of medium-sized to large networks. Based on a scan of the network and likelihood information of vulnerabilities, attack graphs can be transformed into Bayesian Attack Graphs (BAGs).…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Isaac Matthews , John Mace , Sadegh Soudjani , Aad van Moorsel

Attack graphs are a powerful tool for security risk assessment by analysing network vulnerabilities and the paths attackers can use to compromise network resources. The uncertainty about the attacker's behaviour makes Bayesian networks…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-11-07 Luis Muñoz-González , Daniele Sgandurra , Martín Barrère , Emil Lupu

Attack graphs provide compact representations of the attack paths that an attacker can follow to compromise network resources by analysing network vulnerabilities and topology. These representations are a powerful tool for security risk…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Luis Muñoz-González , Daniele Sgandurra , Andrea Paudice , Emil C. Lupu

Risk assessment plays a crucial role in ensuring the security and resilience of modern computer systems. Existing methods for conducting risk assessments often suffer from tedious and time-consuming processes, making it challenging to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Simon Unger , Ektor Arzoglou , Markus Heinrich , Dirk Scheuermann , Stefan Katzenbeisser

A vulnerability scan combined with information about a computer network can be used to create an attack graph, a model of how the elements of a network could be used in an attack to reach specific states or goals in the network. These…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Isaac Matthews , Sadegh Soudjani , Aad van Moorsel

We present a framework for bridging the gap between sensor attack detection and recovery in cyber-physical systems. The proposed framework models modern-day, complex perception pipelines as bipartite graphs, which combined with anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Axel Andersson , György Dán

Recent developments have made autonomous vehicles (AVs) closer to hitting our roads. However, their security is still a major concern among drivers as well as manufacturers. Although some work has been done to identify threats and possible…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Ali Behfarnia , Ali Eslami

Protecting the security of the train control system is a critical issue to ensure the safe and reliable operation of high-speed trains. Scientific modeling and analysis for the security risk is a promising way to guarantee system security.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-01 Zikai Zhang

This work presents a threat modelling approach to represent changes to the attack paths through an Internet of Things (IoT) environment when the environment changes dynamically, i.e., when new devices are added or removed from the system or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Marwa Salayma

With the continuous improvement of attack methods, there are more and more distributed, complex, targeted attacks in which the attackers use combined attack methods to achieve the purpose. Advanced cyber attacks include multiple stages to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Xiaoyu Wang , Xiaorui Gong , Lei Yu , Jian Liu

A novel unified Bayesian framework for network detection is developed, under which a detection algorithm is derived based on random walks on graphs. The algorithm detects threat networks using partial observations of their activity, and is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Steven T. Smith , Edward K. Kao , Kenneth D. Senne , Garrett Bernstein , Scott Philips

Graph neural networks, a popular class of models effective in a wide range of graph-based learning tasks, have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks. While the majority of the literature focuses on such vulnerability in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-05 Xingchen Wan , Henry Kenlay , Binxin Ru , Arno Blaas , Michael A. Osborne , Xiaowen Dong

The ever-evolving capabilities of cyber attackers force security administrators to focus on the early identification of emerging threats. Targeted cyber attacks usually consist of several phases, from initial reconnaissance of the network…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Lukáš Sadlek , Pavel Čeleda , Daniel Tovarňák

With AI-based software becoming widely available, the risk of exploiting its capabilities, such as high automation and complex pattern recognition, could significantly increase. An AI used offensively to attack non-AI assets is referred to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Anket Mehra , Andreas Aßmuth , Malte Prieß

Process digitization and integration is an increasing need for enterprises, while cyber-attacks denote a growing threat. Using the Business Process Management Notation (BPMN) is common to handle the digital and integration focus within and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Simon Hacks , Robert Lagerström , Daniel Ritter

Attack graphs are a tool for analyzing security vulnerabilities that capture different and prospective attacks on a system. As a threat modeling tool, it shows possible paths that an attacker can exploit to achieve a particular goal.…

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

Complex multi-step attacks have caused significant damage to numerous critical infrastructures. To detect such attacks, graph neural network based methods have shown promising results by modeling the system's events as a graph. However,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Wei Liu , Peng Gao , Haotian Zhang , Ke Li , Weiyong Yang , Xingshen Wei , Jiwu Shu

Identifying, analyzing, and evaluating cybersecurity risks are essential to assess the vulnerabilities of modern manufacturing infrastructures and to devise effective decision-making strategies to secure critical manufacturing against…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Md Habibor Rahman , Erfan Yazdandoost Hamedani , Young-Jun Son , Mohammed Shafae
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