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We develop an algorithm for computing bounded reachability probability for hybrid systems, i.e., the probability that the system reaches an unsafe region within a finite number of discrete transitions. In particular, we focus on hybrid…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Fedor Shmarov , Paolo Zuliani

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The aim of this article is to prove that diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a drift can be approximated by suitable Markov chains on $n^{-1}\mathbb{Z}^d$. Moreover, we investigate sufficient conditions on the conductances which…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Marvin Weidner

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

A single queueing system with time-dependent exponentially distributed arrival processes and exponential machine processes (Kendall notation $M_t/M_t/1$) is analyzed. Modeling the time evolution for the discrete queue-length distribution by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Dieter Armbruster , Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

Inspired by distributed applications that use consensus or other agreement protocols for global coordination, we define a new computational model for parameterized systems that is based on a general global synchronization primitive and…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Nouraldin Jaber , Swen Jacobs , Christopher Wagner , Milind Kulkarni , Roopsha Samanta

In this work, we derive particle schemes, based on micro-macro decomposition, for linear kinetic equations in the diffusion limit. Due to the particle approximation of the micro part, a splitting between the transport and the collision part…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Anaïs Crestetto , Nicolas Crouseilles , Mohammed Lemou

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

Probabilistic inference problems arise naturally in distributed systems such as sensor networks and teams of mobile robots. Inference algorithms that use message passing are a natural fit for distributed systems, but they must be robust to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Mark Paskin , Carlos E. Guestrin

A new particle-based sampling and approximate inference method, based on electrostatics and Newton mechanics principles, is introduced with theoretical ground, algorithm design and experimental validation. This method simulates an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Yongchao Huang

Gradient-based algorithms are one of the methods of choice for the optimisation of Markov Decision Processes. In this article we will present a novel approximate Newton algorithm for the optimisation of such models. The algorithm has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Thomas Furmston , David Barber

In this paper, we propose a globally convergent method for solving constrained nonlinear systems. The method combines an efficient Newton conditional gradient method with a derivative-free and nonmonotone linesearch strategy. The global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-06 M. L. N. Gonçalves , F. R. Oliveira

We prove existence and uniqueness for some nonlinear stochastic differential equation used in molecular dynamics, whose nonlinearity comes from a conditional expectation term. We also introduce an interacting particle system in order to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-16 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelievre , Raphaël Roux

This paper studies a method, which has been proposed in the Physics literature by [8, 7, 10], for estimating the quasi-stationary distribution. In contrast to existing methods in eigenvector estimation, the method eliminates the need for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Hybrid systems whose mode dynamics are governed by non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are often a natural model for biological processes. However such models are difficult to analyze. To address this, we develop a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Benjamin M. Gyori , Bing Liu , Soumya Paul , R. Ramanathan , P. S. Thiagarajan

This paper proposes an unconditionally stable numerical method for solving a nonlinear Sobolev model with distributed delay. The proposed computational approach approximates the time derivative by interpolation technique whereas the spatial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Eric Ngondiep

Many natural and engineered systems can be modeled as discrete state Markov processes. Often, only a subset of states are directly observable. Inferring the conditional probability that a system occupies a particular hidden state, given the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-04 Daniel Chen , Alexander G. Strang , Andrew W. Eckford , Peter J. Thomas