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We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

We review various methods used to estimate uncertainties in quantum correlation functions, such as parton distribution functions (PDFs). Using a toy model of a PDF, we compare the uncertainty estimates yielded by the traditional Hessian and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-08-17 N. T. Hunt-Smith , A. Accardi , W. Melnitchouk , N. Sato , A. W. Thomas , M. J. White

Entropy and its various generalizations are important in many fields, including mathematical statistics, communication theory, physics and computer science, for characterizing the amount of information associated with a probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Mehmet Siddik Cadirci , Dafydd Evans , Nikolai Leonenko , Oleg Seleznjev

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

Entropy is a central concept in physics, but can be challenging to calculate even for systems that are easily simulated. This is exacerbated out of equilibrium, where generally little is known about the distribution characterizing simulated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Samuel D. Gelman , Guy Cohen

The probability density function (PDF) of a random variable associated with the solution of a partial differential equation (PDE) with random parameters is approximated using a truncated series expansion. The random PDE is solved using two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger , Henry P. Wynn

In this letter, we present a novel exponentially embedded families (EEF) based classification method, in which the probability density function (PDF) on raw data is estimated from the PDF on features. With the PDF construction, we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-24 Bo Tang , Steven Kay , Haibo He , Paul M. Baggenstoss

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

This thesis synthesizes probability and entropic inference with Quantum Mechanics (QM) and quantum measurement [1-6]. It is shown that the standard and quantum relative entropies are tools designed for the purpose of updating probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-04-25 Kevin Vanslette

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

Density Estimation is one of the central areas of statistics whose purpose is to estimate the probability density function underlying the observed data. It serves as a building block for many tasks in statistical inference, visualization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Zhipeng Wang , David W. Scott

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

We consider a semiparametric mixture of two univariate density functions where one of them is known while the weight and the other function are unknown. Such mixtures have a history of application to the problem of detecting differentially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Zhou Shen , Michael Levine , Zuofeng Shang

In the paper, we introduce the maximum entropy estimator based on 2-dimensional empirical distribution of the observation sequence of hidden Markov model , when the sample size is big: in that case computing the maximum likelihood estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shulan Hu , Xinyu Wang , Liming Wu

Entropy rate of sequential data-streams naturally quantifies the complexity of the generative process. Thus entropy rate fluctuations could be used as a tool to recognize dynamical perturbations in signal sources, and could potentially be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-24 Ishanu Chattopadhyay , Hod Lipson

This paper deals with uncertainty quantification and out-of-distribution detection in deep learning using Bayesian and ensemble methods. It proposes a practical solution to the lack of prediction diversity observed recently for standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Antoine de Mathelin , François Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

We find that the standard relative entropy and the Umegaki entropy are designed for the purpose of inferentially updating probability and density matrices respectively. From the same set of inferentially guided design criteria, both of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-12-06 Kevin Vanslette

One of the most fascinating challenges in the context of parton density function (PDF) is the determination of the best combined PDF uncertainty from individual PDF sets. Since 2014 multiple methodologies have been developed to achieve this…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-05-18 Stefano Carrazza , José I. Latorre

We introduce a method for calculating the probability density function (PDF) of a turbulent density field in three dimensions using only information contained in the projected two-dimensional column density field. We test the method by…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-05-18 Christopher M. Brunt , Christoph Federrath , Daniel J. Price