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We show that density models describing multiple observables with (i) hard boundaries and (ii) dependence on external parameters may be created using an auto-regressive Gaussian mixture model. The model is designed to capture how observable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-01 Stephen B. Menary , Darren D. Price

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter sensitivity in models of complex dynamical systems through the lens of information geometry. We calculate the sensitivity of model behavior to variations in parameters. In most cases,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-17 Benjamin L. Francis , Mark K. Transtrum

Decision circuits have been developed to perform efficient evaluation of influence diagrams [Bhattacharjya and Shachter, 2007], building on the advances in arithmetic circuits for belief network inference [Darwiche,2003]. In the process of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Debarun Bhattacharjya , Ross D. Shachter

Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Paul Scharnhorst , Baptiste Schubnel , Rafael E. Carrillo , Pierre-Jean Alet , Colin N. Jones

Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical simulators is often limited by the small number of model evaluations that can be afforded. In such settings, surrogate models built from a limited set of simulations can substantially reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Guerlain Lambert , Céline Helbert , Claire Lauvernet

Health modeling of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is crucial for safe and efficient energy management and carries significant socio-economic implications. Although Machine Learning (ML)-based State of Health (SOH) estimation methods have made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Yuyuan Feng , Guosheng Hu , Xiaodong Li , Zhihong Zhang

The recent geopolitical crisis resulted in a gas price surge. Although lithium-ion batteries represent the best available rechargeable battery technology, a significant energy and power density gap exists between LIBs and petrol/gasoline.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Dibakar Datta

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We build a transient multidimensional multiphysical model based on continuum theories, involving the coupled mechanical, thermal and electrochemical phenomena occurring simultaneously in the discharge or charge of lithium-ion batteries. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Jaime Mora-Paz

Hypoxia-activated prodrugs offer a promising strategy for targeting oxygen-deficient regions in solid tumors, which are often resistant to conventional therapies. However, modeling their behavior is challenging because of the complex…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Alessandro Coclite , Riccardo Montanelli Eccher , Luca Possenti , Piermario Vitullo , Paolo Zunino

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

Conventional Li-ion battery ageing models, such as electrochemical, semi-empirical and empirical models, require a significant amount of time and experimental resources to provide accurate predictions under realistic operating conditions.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Lucu M. , Martinez-Laserna E. , Gandiaga I. , Liu K. , Camblong H. , Widanage W. D. , Marco J

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Battery aging is a natural process that contributes to capacity and power fade, resulting in a gradual performance degradation over time and usage. State of Charge (SOC) and State of Health (SOH) monitoring of an aging battery poses a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-25 Anirudh Allam , Simona Onori

In order to achieve a better understanding of degradation processes in lithium-ion batteries, the modelling of cell dynamics at the mircometer scale is an important focus of current mathematical research. These models lead to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Mario Ohlberger , Stephan Rave , Sebastian Schmidt , Shiquan Zhang

Advances in manufacturing and characterization of complex molecular systems have created a need for new methods for design at molecular length scales. Emerging approaches are increasingly relying on the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI),…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-08-17 Dan Mendels , Fabian Byléhn , Timothy W. Sirk , Juan J. de Pablo

Battery degradation is governed by complex and randomized cyclic conditions, yet existing modeling and prediction frameworks usually rely on rigid, unchanging protocols that fail to capture real-world dynamics. The stochastic electrical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Yuqi Li , Han Zhang , Xiaofan Gui , Zhao Chen , Yu Li , Xiwen Chi , Quan Zhou , Shun Zheng , Ziheng Lu , Wei Xu , Jiang Bian , Liquan Chen , Hong Li

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Discovery of the molecular candidates for applications in drug targets, biomolecular systems, catalysts, photovoltaics, organic electronics, and batteries, necessitates development of machine learning algorithms capable of rapid exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Ayana Ghosh , Sergei V. Kalinin , Maxim A. Ziatdinov
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