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Gaussian processes are important models in the field of probabilistic numerics. We present a procedure for optimizing Mat\'ern kernel temporal Gaussian processes with respect to the kernel covariance function's hyperparameters. It is based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Wouter M. Kouw

We consider the mean--variance portfolio optimization problem under the game theoretic framework and without risk-free assets. The problem is solved semi-explicitly by applying the extended Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation. Although the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Chi Kin Lam , Yuhong Xu , Guosheng Yin

This paper is devoted to study the optimal portfolio problem. Harry Markowitz's Ph.D. thesis prepared the ground for the mathematical theory of finance. In modern portfolio theory, we typically find asset returns that are modeled by a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-30 Hassan Omidi Firouzi , Andrew Luong

We present a novel black box optimization algorithm called Hessian Estimation Evolution Strategy. The algorithm updates the covariance matrix of its sampling distribution by directly estimating the curvature of the objective function. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tobias Glasmachers , Oswin Krause

The comovement phenomenon in financial markets creates decision scenarios with positively correlated asset returns. This paper addresses covariance matrix estimation under such conditions, motivated by observations of significant positive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Weilong Liu , Yanchu Liu

Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-21 Alex Dannenberg

Integer variables allow the treatment of some portfolio optimization problems in a more realistic way and introduce the possibility of adding some natural features to the model. We propose an algebraic approach to maximize the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-04-07 F. Castro , J. Gago , I. Hartillo , J. Puerto , J. M. Ucha

We introduce a unified framework for rapid, large-scale portfolio optimization that incorporates both shrinkage and regularization techniques. This framework addresses multiple objectives, including minimum variance, mean-variance, and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-13 Weichuan Deng , Pawel Polak , Abolfazl Safikhani , Ronakdilip Shah

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

The mean and variance of portfolio returns are the standard quantities to measure the expected return and risk of a portfolio. Efficient portfolios that provide optimal trade-offs between mean and variance warrant consideration. To express…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-15 Shengjie Xiu , Xiwen Wang , Daniel P. Palomar

Under certain conditions, the largest eigenvalue of a sample covariance matrix undergoes a well-known phase transition when the sample size $n$ and data dimension $p$ diverge proportionally. In the subcritical regime, this eigenvalue has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Nina Dörnemann , Miles E. Lopes

In covariance matrix estimation, one of the challenges lies in finding a suitable model and an efficient estimation method. Two commonly used modelling approaches in the literature involve imposing linear restrictions on the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Piotr Zwiernik

Recent studies stressed the fact that covariance matrices computed from empirical financial time series appear to contain a high amount of noise. This makes the classical Markowitz Mean-Variance Optimization model unable to correctly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Justo Puerto , Federica Ricca , Moisés Rodríguez-Madrena , Andrea Scozzari

Heteroscedastic regression models a Gaussian variable's mean and variance as a function of covariates. Parametric methods that employ neural networks for these parameter maps can capture complex relationships in the data. Yet, optimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Andrew Stirn , Hans-Hermann Wessels , Megan Schertzer , Laura Pereira , Neville E. Sanjana , David A. Knowles

Choosing a portfolio of risky assets over time that maximizes the expected return at the same time as it minimizes portfolio risk is a classical problem in Mathematical Finance and is referred to as the dynamic Markowitz problem (when the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-20 Gabriela Kováčová , Birgit Rudloff

One of the reasons that higher order moment portfolio optimization methods are not fully used by practitioners in investment decisions is the complexity that these higher moments create by making the optimization problem nonconvex. Many few…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Farshad Noravesh

This paper prices and replicates the financial derivative whose payoff at $T$ is the wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio (or fixed-fraction betting scheme) determined in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-06 Alex Garivaltis

Diffusion models can generate a variety of high-quality images by modeling complex data distributions. Trained diffusion models can also be very effective image priors for solving inverse problems. Most of the existing diffusion-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Nebiyou Yismaw , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , M. Salman Asif

This paper investigates the large sample properties of the variance, weights, and risk of high-dimensional portfolios where the inverse of the covariance matrix of excess asset returns is estimated using a technique called nodewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Laurent Callot , Mehmet Caner , Esra Ulasan , A. Özlem Önder

We study the problem of computationally efficient robust estimation of the covariance/scatter matrix of elliptical distributions -- that is, affine transformations of spherically symmetric distributions -- under the strong contamination…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Gleb Novikov
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