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Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

Electricity is traded on various markets with different time horizons and regulations. Short-term intraday trading becomes increasingly important due to the higher penetration of renewables. In Germany, the intraday electricity price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Eike Cramer , Dirk Witthaut , Alexander Mitsos , Manuel Dahmen

We interpret multi-product supply chains (SCs) as coordinated markets; under this interpretation, a SC optimization problem is a market clearing problem that allocates resources and associated economic values (prices) to different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Philip A. Tominac , Victor M. Zavala

In electricity markets, customers are increasingly constrained by their budgets. A budget constraint for a user is an upper bound on the price multiplied by the quantity. However, since prices are determined by the market equilibrium, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Lila Perkins , Baosen Zhang

Increased penetration of wind energy will make electricity market prices more volatile. As a result, market participants will bear increased financial risks, which impact investment decisions and in turn, makes it harder to achieve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-16 Khaled Alshehri , Subhonmesh Bose , Tamer Başar

Some consumers, particularly households, are unwilling to face volatile electricity prices, and they can perceive as unfair price differentiation in the same local area. For these reasons, nodal prices in distribution networks are rarely…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-09 Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn

Researchers and electricity sector practitioners frequently require the supply curve of electricity markets and the price elasticity of supply for purposes such as price forecasting, policy analyses or market power assessment. It is common…

We study historical calibration of one- and two-factor models that are known to describe relatively well the dynamics of energy underlyings such as spot and index natural gas or oil prices at different physical locations or regional power…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Josh Gray , Konstantin Palamarchuk

Energy costs are a major factor in the total cost of ownership (TCO) for high-performance computing (HPC) systems. The rise of intermittent green energy sources and reduced reliance on fossil fuels have introduced volatility into…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Peter Arzt , Felix Wolf

A significant portion of a consumer's annual electrical costs can be made up of coincident peak charges: a transmission surcharge for power consumed when the entire system is at peak demand. This charge occurs only a few times annually, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-05 Chase P. Dowling , Baosen Zhang

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

Although recent studies have shown that electricity systems with shares of wind and solar above 80% can be affordable, economists have raised concerns about market integration. Correlated generation from variable renewable sources depresses…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-14 T. Brown , L. Reichenberg

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

The increase of renewables in the grid and the volatility of the load create uncertainties in the day-ahead prices of electricity markets. Adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and stochastic optimization have been used to make commitment and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

We propose a multivariate elastic net regression forecast model for German quarter-hourly electricity spot markets. While the literature is diverse on day-ahead prediction approaches, both the intraday continuous and intraday call-auction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-22 Christopher Kath , Florian Ziel

Internet services are traditionally priced at flat rates; however, many Internet service providers (ISPs) have recently shifted towards two-part tariffs where a data cap is imposed to restrain data demand from heavy users. Although the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Xin Wang , Richard T. B. Ma , Yinlong Xu

In electrical distribution grids, the constantly increasing number of power generation devices based on renewables demands a transition from a centralized to a distributed generation paradigm. In fact, power injection from Distributed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi , Stefano Tomasin , Carlo Fischione

The participation of consumers and producers in demand response programs has increased in smart grids, which reduces investment and operation costs of power systems. Also, with the advent of renewable energy sources, the electricity market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Nafise Rezaei , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari