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Many real-world problems encountered in several disciplines deal with the modeling of time-series containing different underlying dynamical regimes, for which probabilistic approaches are very often employed. In this paper we describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Silvia Chiappa

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

This paper proposes an identification algorithm for Single Input Single Output (SISO) Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. In the noise-free setting, where the first $T$ Markov parameters can be precisely estimated, all Markov parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Jiayun Li , Yilin Mo

We provide a framework for speeding up algorithms for time-bounded reachability analysis of continuous-time Markov decision processes. The principle is to find a small, but almost equivalent subsystem of the original system and only analyse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Pranav Ashok , Yuliya Butkova , Holger Hermanns , Jan Křetínský

When training data is scarce, the incorporation of additional prior knowledge can assist the learning process. While it is common to initialize neural networks with weights that have been pre-trained on other large data sets, pre-training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Laura von Rueden , Sebastian Houben , Kostadin Cvejoski , Christian Bauckhage , Nico Piatkowski

The analysis of high-dimensional time series data has become increasingly important across a wide range of fields. Recently, a method for constructing the minimum information Markov kernel on finite state spaces was established. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

Despite their growing popularity, data-driven models of real-world dynamical systems require lots of data. However, due to sensing limitations as well as privacy concerns, this data is not always available, especially in domains such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Hussain Kazmi , Pierre Pinson

In this document, some general results in approximation theory and matrix analysis with applications to sparse identification of time series models and nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems are presented. The aforementioned theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-04 Fredy Vides

The inference of deep hierarchical models is problematic due to strong dependencies between the hierarchies. We investigate a specific transformation of the model parameters based on the multivariate distributional transform. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-12 Jakob Knollmüller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

We present a method for learning the parameters of a Bayesian network with prior knowledge about the signs of influences between variables. Our method accommodates not just the standard signs, but provides for context-specific signs as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Ad Feelders , Linda C. van der Gaag

The advent of deep learning and recurrent neural networks revolutionized the field of time-series processing. Therefore, recent research on spectrum prediction has focused on the use of these tools. However, spectrum prediction, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Vincent Corlay , Tatsuya Nakazato , Kanako Yamaguchi , Akinori Nakajima

Based on information theory, we present a method to determine an optimal Markov approximation for modelling and prediction from time series data. The method finds a balance between minimal modelling errors by taking as much as possible…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-05-29 Detlef Holstein , Holger Kantz

Time-optimal path tracking, as a significant tool for industrial robots, has attracted the attention of numerous researchers. In most time-optimal path tracking problems, the actuator torque constraints are assumed to be conservative, which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Jiadong Xiao , Lin Li , Yanbiao Zou , Tie Zhang

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

Recent works in Learning-Based Model Predictive Control of dynamical systems show impressive sample complexity performances using criteria from Information Theory to accelerate the learning procedure. However, the sequential exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Rémy Hosseinkhan-Boucher , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin

This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Florian Bouguet , Florent Malrieu , Fabien Panloup , Christophe Poquet , Julien Reygner