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We consider continuous-time Markov chain on a finite state space X. We assume X can be clustered into several subsets such that the intra-transition rates within these subsets are of order $\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\epsilon})$ comparing to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-28 Wei Zhang

We study the ergodic properties of two classes of random dynamical systems: a type of Markov chain which we call the \textit{alternating random walk} and a certain stochastic billiard system which describes the motion of a free-moving rough…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Peter Rudzis

We consider a class of continuous time Markov chains on a compact metric space that admit an invariant measure strictly positive on open sets together with absorbing states. We prove the joint large deviation principle for the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Giada Basile , Lorenzo Bertini

We present a recurrence-transience classification for discrete-time Markov chains on manifolds with negative curvature. Our classification depends only on geometric quantities associated to the increments of the chain, defined via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 John Armstrong , Tim King

In this article we prove existence of the asymptotic capacity of the range of random walks on free products of graphs. In particular, we will show that the asymptotic capacity of the range is almost surely constant and strictly positive.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Lorenz A. Gilch

In this paper, we try to answer the question, whether for bivariate elliptic random variable X=(X_1,X_2) the marginal random variables X_1 and X_2 are asymptotically dependent. We show, that for some special form of the characteristic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Krystyna Jaworska

We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain. The constants in this inequality are explicit and depend on computable bounds on the mixing rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Yeor Hafouta

We illustrate how the notion of asymptotic coupling provides a flexible and intuitive framework for proving the uniqueness of invariant measures for a variety of stochastic partial differential equations whose deterministic counterpart…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Geordie Richards

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-02 Hiroki Masuda

The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

For a dynamical system satisfying the approximate product property and asymptotically entropy expansiveness, we characterize a delicate structrue of the space of invariant measures: The ergodic measures of intermediate entropies and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Peng Sun

This short note reviews the basic theory for quantifying both the asymptotic and preasymptotic convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo estimators.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Michael Betancourt

We establish pointwise convergence for nonconventional ergodic averages taken along $\lfloor p^c\rfloor$, where $p$ is a prime number and $c\in(1,4/3)$ on $L^r$, $r\in(1,\infty)$. In fact, we consider averages along more general sequences…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Erik Bahnson , Leonidas Daskalakis , Abbas Dohadwala , Ish Shah

We discuss a Markov jump process regarded as a variant of the CIR (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) model and its infinite-dimensional extension. These models belong to a class of measure-valued branching processes with immigration, whose jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Kenji Handa

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

In this paper we study ergodic theory of countable Markov shifts. These are dynamical systems defined over non-compact spaces. Our main result relates the escape of mass, the measure theoretic entropy, and the entropy at infinity of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Godofredo Iommi , Mike Todd , Anibal Velozo