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Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

We study the effect of Gaussian perturbations on a hyperbolic partial differential equation with double characteristics in two spatial dimensions. The coefficients of our partial differential operator depend polynomially on the space…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli

Advances in data science are leading to new progresses in the analysis and understanding of complex dynamics for systems with experimental and observational data. With numerous physical phenomena exhibiting bursting, flights, hopping, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we study a class of nonlinear space-time fractional stochastic kinetic equations in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with Gaussian noise which is white in time and homogeneous in space. This type of equation constitutes an extension of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Junfeng Liu

This paper presents a data-driven approach to model planar pushing interaction to predict both the most likely outcome of a push and its expected variability. The learned models rely on a variation of Gaussian processes with input-dependent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Maria Bauza , Alberto Rodriguez

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

It is a common practice in the machine learning community to assume that the observed data are noise-free in the input attributes. Nevertheless, scenarios with input noise are common in real problems, as measurements are never perfectly…

This paper introduces stationary and multi-self-similar random fields which account for stochastic volatility and have type G marginal law. The stationary random fields are constructed using volatility modulated mixed moving average fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider the problem of jointly estimating multiple related zero-mean Gaussian distributions from data. We propose to jointly estimate these covariance matrices using Laplacian regularized stratified model fitting, which includes loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-25 Jonathan Tuck , Stephen Boyd

Variational autoencoders often assume isotropic Gaussian priors and mean-field posteriors, hence do not exploit structure in scenarios where we may expect similarity or consistency across latent variables. Gaussian process variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-17 Metod Jazbec , Michael Pearce , Vincent Fortuin

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

This paper investigates Gaussian Markov random field approximations to nonstationary Gaussian fields using graph representations of stochastic partial differential equations. We establish approximation error guarantees building on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Real-world signals typically span across multiple dimensions, that is, they naturally reside on multi-way data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard ``flat-view'' multivariate matrix models which are agnostic to data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Anh-Huy Phan , Danilo P. Mandic

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Distinguishing the cause and effect from bivariate observational data is the foundational problem that finds applications in many scientific disciplines. One solution to this problem is assuming that cause and effect are generated from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Quang-Duy Tran , Bao Duong , Phuoc Nguyen , Thin Nguyen

In this work, we investigate the existence and properties of Gaussian-like densities for weak solutions of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by a mixture of completely correlated fractional Brownian motions. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Maximilian Buthenhoff , Ercan Sönmez

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

A challenge in multivariate problems with discrete structures is the inclusion of prior information that may differ in each separate structure. A particular example of this is seismic amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion to elastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-09 Erlend Aune , Daniel Simpson

Real world datasets often contain noisy labels, and learning from such datasets using standard classification approaches may not produce the desired performance. In this paper, we propose a Gaussian Mixture Discriminant Analysis (GMDA) with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Jian-wei Liu , Zheng-ping Ren , Run-kun Lu , Xiong-lin Luo

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada
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