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The concepts of sparsity, and regularised estimation, have proven useful in many high-dimensional statistical applications. Dynamic factor models (DFMs) provide a parsimonious approach to modelling high-dimensional time series, however, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Luke Mosley , Tak-Shing T. Chan , Alex Gibberd

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) pretrained on data from multiple domains have shown strong performance on diverse modeling tasks. Various efforts have been made to develop foundation models specific to electroencephalography (EEG)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Brad Shook , Abby Turner , Jieshi Chen , Michał Wiliński , Mononito Goswami , Jonathan Elmer , Artur Dubrawski

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

EEG time series are analyzed using the diffusion entropy method. The resulting EEG entropy manifests short-time scaling, asymptotic saturation and an attenuated alpha-rhythm modulation. These properties are faithfully modeled by a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-09 M. Ignaccolo , M. Latka , W. Jernajczyk , P. Grigolini , B. J. West

Many real-world systems are described not only by data from a single source but via multiple data views. In genomic medicine, for instance, patients can be characterized by data from different molecular layers. Latent variable models with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Arber Qoku , Florian Buettner

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-31 Ayan Acharya , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

This paper asks whether integrating multimodal EEG and fMRI data offers a better characterisation of functional brain architectures than either modality alone. This evaluation rests upon a dynamic causal model that generates both EEG and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Huilin Wei , Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Adeel Razi , Dewen Hu , Karl J. Friston

In this paper, we propose a deep generative time series approach using latent temporal processes for modeling and holistically analyzing complex disease trajectories. We aim to find meaningful temporal latent representations of an…

Large tensor (multi-dimensional array) data are now routinely collected in a wide range of applications, due to modern data collection capabilities. Often such observations are taken over time, forming tensor time series. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-hui Zhang

The paper proposes a latent variable model for binary data coming from an unobserved heterogeneous population. The heterogeneity is taken into account by replacing the traditional assumption of Gaussian distributed factors by a finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-13 Silvia Cagnone , Cinzia Viroli

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

In this paper, we develop an {\em epsilon admissible subsets} (EAS) model selection approach for performing group variable selection in the high-dimensional multivariate regression setting. This EAS strategy is designed to estimate a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Salil Koner , Jonathan P Williams

Factor analysis is a classical data reduction technique that seeks a potentially lower number of unobserved variables that can account for the correlations among the observed variables. This paper presents an extension of the factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Tsung-I Lin , Pal H. Wu , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Sharon X. Lee

We propose a generative model for robust tensor factorization in the presence of both missing data and outliers. The objective is to explicitly infer the underlying low-CP-rank tensor capturing the global information and a sparse tensor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Qibin Zhao , Guoxu Zhou , Liqing Zhang , Andrzej Cichocki , Shun-ichi Amari

In the present work, we consider variable selection and shrinkage for the Gaussian dynamic linear regression within a Bayesian framework. In particular, we propose a novel method that allows for time-varying sparsity, based on an extension…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Paloma W. Uribe , Hedibert F. Lopes

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Deep neural networks have become increasingly of interest in dynamical system prediction, but out-of-distribution generalization and long-term stability still remains challenging. In this work, we treat the domain parameters of dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Stathi Fotiadis , Mario Lino , Shunlong Hu , Stef Garasto , Chris D Cantwell , Anil Anthony Bharath

Most of previous works and applications of Bayesian factor model have assumed the normal likelihood regardless of its validity. We propose a Bayesian factor model for heavy-tailed high-dimensional data based on multivariate Student-$t$…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Jaejoon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction in the analysis of multivariate data. This is achieved through decomposition of a p x p covariance matrix into the sum of two components. Through a latent factor representation, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Sarah Elizabeth Heaps , Ian Hyla Jermyn