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We present a simple agent-based model to study the development of a bubble and the consequential crash and investigate how their proximate triggering factor might relate to their fundamental mechanism, and vice versa. Our agents invest…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-12 Georges Harras , Didier Sornette

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

In this paper, we develop a variational method to track and make predictions about a real-world system from continuous imperfect observations about this system, using an agent-based model that describes the system dynamics. By combining the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-05-17 Wen Dong

In this paper, we propose an agent-based model of information spread, grounded on psychological insights on the formation and spread of beliefs. In our model, we consider a network of individuals who share two opposing types of information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Julien Corsin , Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye

In this paper, we study the kinetic Vicsek model, which serves as a starting point for describing the polarization phenomena observed in the experiments of fibroblasts moving on liquid crystalline substrates. The long-time behavior of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-18 Mengyang Gu , Siming He

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

The present paper introduces a majority orienting model in which the dealers' behavior changes based on the influence of the price to show the oscillation of stock price in the stock market. We show the oscillation of the price for the…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Hisanao Takahashi , Yoshiaki Itoh

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

In some systems, the behavior of the constituent units can create a `context' that modifies the direct interactions among them. This mechanism of indirect modification inspired us to develop a minimal model of context-dependent spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Giulio Burgio , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

The long-run convergence of developing economies toward advanced countries exhibits robust empirical regularities, yet the mechanisms underlying technological diffusion remain insufficiently specified in standard growth models. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Vygintas Gontis , Lesya Kolinets

An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-14 Hiroshi Iyetomi , Hideaki Aoyama , Yoshi Fujiwara , Yuichi Ikeda , Wataru Souma

This paper presents a simple agent-based model of an economic system, populated by agents playing different games according to their different view about social cohesion and tax payment. After a first set of simulations, correctly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-24 L. S. Di Mauro , A. Pluchino , A. E. Biondo

A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-15 Randall A. LaViolette , Lory A. Ellebracht , Kevin L. Stamber , Charles J. Gieseler , Benjamin K. Cook

Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are powerful tools for studying emergent properties in complex systems. In ABMs, agent behaviors are governed by local interactions and stochastic rules. However, these rules are, in general, non-differentiable,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Francesco Cozzi , Marco Pangallo , Alan Perotti , André Panisson , Corrado Monti

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

Humans exhibit time-inconsistent behavior, in which planned actions diverge from executed actions. Understanding time inconsistency and designing appropriate interventions is a key research challenge in computer science and behavioral…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Yasunori Akagi , Takeshi Kurashima

The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Hokky Situngkir , Yohanes Surya

We propose a simple statistical-physics-inspired model for the effect of intrinsic fluctuations on supply and demand in markets. The model consists of agents that trade in two types of goods of which the total number is separately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 J. R. Mulder , René van Roij , R. A. Duine

An agent-based model of population dynamics is presented. The model has as its expected behaviour the population dynamics of the equation-based Webworld model, within which large communities of species can be grown on evolutionary time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-11-18 Craig R. Powell

The article is devoted to the issues of using discrete simulation models for modeling some basic technological processes. In the scientific work, models in the form of multi-agent systems have been investigated, which allow us to consider a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Sergey Petrovich Bobkov , Irina Aleksandrovna Astrakhantseva
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