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Related papers: California Reservoir Drought Sensitivity and Exhau…

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Mississippi River nutrient loads and water stratification on the Louisiana-Texas shelf contribute to an annually recurring, short-lived hypoxic bottom layer in areas of the northern Gulf of Mexico comprising less than 2% of the total Gulf…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-25 Michael W. Courtney , Joshua M. Courtney

Climate change is expected to increase the likelihood of drought events, with severe implications for food security. Unlike other natural disasters, droughts have a slow onset and depend on various external factors, making drought detection…

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

The prediction of time series is a challenging task relevant in such diverse applications as analyzing financial data, forecasting flow dynamics or understanding biological processes. Especially chaotic time series that depend on a long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Johannes Viehweg , Dominik Walther , Patrick Mäder

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

We discuss a resource-competition model, which takes the MacArthur's model as a platform, to unveil interesting connections with glassy features and jamming in high dimension. This model presents two qualitatively different phases: a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-01-16 Ada Altieri , Silvio Franz

In the Great Plains, playas are critical wetland habitats for migratory birds and a source of recharge for the agriculturally-important High Plains aquifer. The temporary wetlands exhibit complex hydrology, filling rapidly via local rain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Kylen Solvik , Anne M. Bartuszevige , Meghan Bogaerts , Maxwell B. Joseph

The present study examined a multi-year reanalysis dataset (ERA5-Land) including numerous drought events across the Iberian Peninsula, with a specific emphasis on the 2005 episode. The mechanisms underlying the transition from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 M. Possega , M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda , S. R. Gámiz-Fortis

To study the diurnal evolution of the convective cloud field, we develop a precipitation cell tracking algorithm which records the merging and fragmentation of convective cells during their life cycles, and apply it on large eddy simulation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-27 Christopher Moseley , Olga Henneberg , Jan O. Haerter

Understanding the adaptation process of plants to drought stress is essential in improving management practices, breeding strategies as well as engineering viable crops for a sustainable agriculture in the coming decades. Hyper-spectral…

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

In modeling spatial extremes, the dependence structure is classically inferred by assuming that block maxima derive from max-stable processes. Weather stations provide daily records rather than just block maxima. The point process approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang

Unprecedented winter storms that hit across Texas in February 2021 have caused at least 69 deaths and 4.5 million customer interruptions due to the wide-ranging generation capacity outage and record-breaking electricity demand. While much…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-19 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Yixing Xu , Daniel Olsen , Bainan Xia , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

Previous research has raised concerns about energy droughts in renewables-based energy systems. This study explores the ability of reservoir hydropower to sustain a high output and, thereby, mitigate such energy droughts. Using detailed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-24 Hanna Ek Fälth , Fredrik Hedenus , Lina Reichenberg , Niclas Mattsson

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

In an adiabatically shielded system the total enthalpy is conserved. Enthalpy fluctuations of an arbitrarily chosen subsystem must be buffered by the remainder of the total system which serves as a heat reservoir. The magnitude of these…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Lars D. Mosgaard , Andrew D. Jackson , Thomas Heimburg

Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin , Tom Beucler

Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-28 Sarah Good , Anthony O'Hare

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

Applications · Statistics 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

We study deterministic continuous-time lossy dynamical flow networks with constant exogenous demands, fixed routing, and finite flow and buffer capacities. In the considered model, when the total net flow in a cell ---consisting of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Leonardo Massai , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani