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Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts

We design and analyze unbiased Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) schemes based on couplings of blocked Gibbs samplers (BGSs), whose total computational costs scale linearly with the number of parameters and data points. Our methodology is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Paolo Maria Ceriani , Andrea Pandolfi , Giacomo Zanella

This paper establishes a remarkable result regarding Palmdistributions for a log Gaussian Cox process: the reduced Palmdistribution for a log Gaussian Cox process is itself a log Gaussian Coxprocess which only differs from the original log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-09 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

This paper presents a control variate-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for efficient sampling from the probability simplex, with a focus on applications in large-scale Bayesian models such as latent Dirichlet allocation. Standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Francesco Barile , Christopher Nemeth

Relaxation processes driven by a Laplacian matrix can be found in many real-world big-data systems, for example, in search engines on the World-Wide-Web and the dynamic load balancing protocols in mesh networks. To numerically implement…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 S. Hwang , D. -S. Lee , B. Kahng

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-16 Kenan Šehić , Mirza Karamehmedović

Multiscale modeling is a systematic approach to describe the behavior of complex systems by coupling models from different scales. The approach has been demonstrated to be very effective in areas of science as diverse as materials science,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Ting Wang , Kenneth W. Leiter , Petr Plechac , Jaroslaw Knap

Modeling and inferring spatial relationships and predicting missing values of environmental data are some of the main tasks of geospatial statisticians. These routine tasks are accomplished using multivariate geospatial models and the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Mary Lai O. Salvaña , Sameh Abdulah , Huang Huang , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

Algorithms for Gaussian process, marginal likelihood methods or restricted maximum likelihood methods often require derivatives of log determinant terms. These log determinants are usually parametric with variance parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

This article focuses on inference in logistic regression for high-dimensional binary outcomes. A popular approach induces dependence across the outcomes by including latent factors in the linear predictor. Bayesian approaches are useful for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Lorenzo Mauri , David B. Dunson

Methods for inference and simulation of linearly constrained Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRF) are computationally prohibitive when the number of constraints is large. In some cases, such as for intrinsic GMRFs, they may even be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

We propose a new fiducial Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for fitting parametric Gaussian models. We utilize the Cayley transform to decompose the parametric covariance matrix, which in turn allows us to formulate a general data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Hank Flury , Jan Hannig , Richard Smith

Logarithms of determinants of large positive definite matrices appear ubiquitously in machine learning applications including Gaussian graphical and Gaussian process models, partition functions of discrete graphical models, minimum-volume…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Insu Han , Dmitry Malioutov , Jinwoo Shin

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

We study the Bayesian inverse problem for inferring the log-normal slowness function of the eikonal equation given noisy observation data on its solution at a set of spatial points. We study approximation of the posterior probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Zhan Fei Yeo , Viet Ha Hoang

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

We introduce Gaussian orthogonal latent factor processes for modeling and predicting large correlated data. To handle the computational challenge, we first decompose the likelihood function of the Gaussian random field with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Mengyang Gu , Hanmo Li
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