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We introduce new estimates and tests of independence in copula models with unknown margins using $\phi$-divergences and the duality technique. The asymptotic laws of the estimates and the test statistics are established both when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Amor Keziou

An extension of the empirical copula is considered by combining an estimator of a multivariate cumulative distribution function with estimators of the marginal cumulative distribution functions for marginal estimators that are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Johan Segers

The present article studies survival analytic aspects of semiparametric copula dependence models with arbitrary univariate marginals. The underlying survival functions admit a representation via exponent measures which have an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-25 Jens Bendel , Dennis Dobler , Arnold Janssen

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove

In this paper, we construct a bound copula, which can reach both Frechet's lower and upper bounds for perfect positive and negative dependence cases. Since it covers a wide range of dependency and simple for computational purposes, it can…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Suman Thapa , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

The copulas of random vectors with standard uniform univariate margins truncated from the right are considered and a general formula for such right-truncated conditional copulas is derived. This formula is analytical for copulas that can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Marius Hofert

Let $G$ be a finite group admitting a coprime automorphism $\alpha$ of order $e$. Denote by $I_G(\alpha)$ the set of commutators $g^{-1}g^\alpha$, where $g\in G$, and by $[G,\alpha]$ the subgroup generated by $I_G(\alpha)$. We study the…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Cristina Acciarri , Robert M. Guralnick , Pavel Shumyatsky

When modeling multivariate phenomena, properly capturing the joint extremal behavior is often one of the many concerns. Archimax copulas appear as successful candidates in case of asymptotic dependence. In this paper, the class of Archimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Simon Chatelain , Samuel Perreault , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Anne-Laure Fougères

Certain causal models involving unmeasured variables induce no independence constraints among the observed variables but imply, nevertheless, inequality contraints on the observed distribution. This paper derives a general formula for such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

Assume $\kappa = \kappa^{< \kappa}$ (usually $\aleph_0$ or an inaccessible). We shall deal with iterated forcings preserving ${}^{\kappa>}{\rm Ord}$ and not collapsing cardinals along a linear order $L$. A sufficient condition for this,…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Saharon Shelah

Testing copula hypothesis is of fundamental importance in the applications of copula theory. In this paper we proposed a copula hypothesis testing with copula entropy. Since copula entropy is a unified theory in probability and therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jian Ma

In random cellular systems, both observation and maximum entropy inference give a specific form to the topological pair correlation: it is bi-affine in the cells number of edges with coefficients depending on the distance between the two…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-14 Faez Miri , Christophe Oguey

We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram\'er-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Remy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We provide a set of copulas that can be interpreted as having the negative extreme dependence. This set of copulas is interesting because it coincides with countermonotonic copula for a bivariate case, and more importantly, is shown to be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-12 Jae Youn Ahn

We propose a class of flexible non-parametric tests for the presence of dependence between components of a random vector based on weighted Cram\'{e}r-von Mises functionals of the empirical copula process. The weights act as a tuning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Ivan Medovikov

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

Inference metaprogramming enables effective probabilistic programming by supporting the decomposition of executions of probabilistic programs into subproblems and the deployment of hybrid probabilistic inference algorithms that apply…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Shivam Handa , Vikash Mansinghka , Martin Rinard

Copulas are functions that describe dependence structures of random vectors, without describing their univariate marginals. In statistics, the separation is sometimes useful, the quality and/or quantity of available information on these two…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-14 Oskar Laverny , Santiago Jimenez