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We consider the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of a sequentially observed stochastic process. We establish the optimality of the CUSUM test with respect to a modified version of Lorden's criterion for arbitrary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-13 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Georgios Fellouris

We consider a multiscale system of stochastic differential equations in which the slow component is perturbed by a small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$ and the fast component is driven by an independent Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Siragan Gailus , Ioannis Gasteratos

This paper deals with the Local Asymptotical normality for the joint drift parameter and Hurst parameter $H>3/4$ in the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Different from the only estimation of the drift parameter when $H$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Chunhao Cai , Cong Zhang

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

In this note we prove the existence of a density for the law of the solution for 1-dimensional stochastic delay differential equations with normal reflection. The equations are driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Mireia Besalú , David Márquez-Carreras , Carles Rovira

Within the rough path framework we prove the continuity of the solution to random differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with respect to the Hurst parameter $H$ when $H \in (1/3, 1/2]$.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Francesco C. De Vecchi , Luca M. Giordano , Daniela Morale , Stefania Ugolini

This work develops a comprehensive mathematical theory for a class of stochastic processes whose local regularity adapts dynamically in response to their own state. We first introduce and rigorously analyze a time-varying fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Jiahao Jiang

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

In this paper we investigate the boundary non-crossing probabilities of a fractional Brownian motion considering some general deterministic trend function. We derive bounds for non-crossing probabilities and discuss the case of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Oleg Seleznjev

We prove an existence and uniqueness theorem for solutions of multidimensional, time dependent, stochastic differential equations driven simultaneously by a multidimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2 and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-27 João Guerra , David Nualart

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

In this article, we study the explosion time of the solution to autonomous stochastic differential equations driven by the fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. With the help of the Lamperti transformation, we are able to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Johanna Garzon , Jorge A. Leon , Soledad Torres , Ciprian A. Tudor , Lauri Viitasaari

In this article, we study a numerical scheme for stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H in (1/4; 1/2). Towards this end, we apply Doss-Sussmann representation of the solution and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 H. Araya , J. A. León , S. Torres

For a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\in]{1/4},{1/2}[\cup]{1/2},1[$, multiple indefinite integrals on a simplex are constructed and the regularity of their sample paths are studied. Then, it is proved that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marta Sanz-Solé , Iván Torrecilla-Tarantino

In the paper, Harnack inequalities are established for stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. As applications, strong Feller property, log-Harnack inequality and entropy-cost…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Xi-Liang Fan

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

For the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with the Hurst parameter value $H$ in (0,1/2), we derive new upper and lower bounds for the difference between the expectations of the maximum of $B^H$ over [0,1] and the maximum of $B^H$ over the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Konstantin Borovkov , Yuliya Mishura , Alexander Novikov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We find an explicit expression for the cross-covariance between stochastic integral processes with respect to a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (fBm) $B_t$ with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, where the integrands are vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-16 Yohaï Maayan , Eddy Mayer-Wolf

The fractional Brownian motion with index $\alpha$ is introduced to construct the fractional excursion set model. A new mass function with single parameter $\alpha$ is derived within the formalism, of which the Press-Schechter mass function…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jun Pan