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Related papers: Moment convergence of balanced P\'olya processes

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The present paper aims at describing in details the asymptotic composition of a class of d-colour P\'olya urn: namely balanced, tenable and irreducible urns. We decompose the composition vector of such urns according to the Jordan…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Cécile Mailler

The problem of convergence of moments of a sequence of random variables to the moments of its asymptotic distribution is important in many applications. These include the determination of the optimal training sample size in the cross…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

This article describes a purely analytic approach to urn models of the generalized or extended P\'olya-Eggenberger type, in the case of two types of balls and constant ``balance,'' that is, constant row sum. The treatment starts from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Philippe Flajolet , Joaquim Gabarro , Helmut Pekari

In this paper, convergence for moments of powered normal extremes is considered under an optimal choice of normalizing constants. It is shown that the rates of convergence for normalized powered normal extremes depend on the power index.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Tingting Li , Zuoxiang Peng

We consider a model of N two-colors urns in which the reinforcement of each urn depends also on the content of all the other urns. This interaction is of mean-field type and it is tuned by a parameter $\alpha$ in [0,1]; in particular, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Irene Crimaldi , Paolo Dai Pra , Ida Germana Minelli

We study the joint asymptotics of forward and backward processes of numbers of non-empty urns in an infinite urn scheme. The probabilities of balls hitting the urns are assumed to satisfy the conditions of regular decrease. We prove weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

An urn model of Diaconis and some generalizations are discussed. A convergence theorem is proved that implies for Diaconis' model that the empirical distribution of balls in the urn converges with probability one to the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

We describe a universality class of the transitions of a generalized P\'{o}lya urn by studying the asymptotic behavior of the normalized correlation function $C(t)$ using finite-size scaling analysis. $X(1),X(2),\cdots$ are the successive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-18 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado

The P\'olya urn scheme is a discrete-time process concerning the addition and removal of colored balls. There is a known embedding of it in continuous-time, called the P\'olya process. We deal with a generalization of this stochastic model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Daniel Krenn , Hosam Mahmoud , Mark Daniel Ward

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-20 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein

We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

Following Hales (2018), the evolution of P\'olya's urn may be interpreted as a walk, a P\'olya walk, on the integer lattice $\mathbb{N}^2$. We study the visibility properties of P\'olya's walk or, equivalently, the divisibility properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 José L. Fernández , Pablo Fernández

We consider a system of urns of Polya-type, with balls of two colors; the reinforcement of each urn depends both on the content of the same urn and on the average content of all urns. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

Consider a balanced non triangular two-color P\'olya-Eggenberger urn process, assumed to be large which means that the ratio sigma of the replacement matrix eigenvalues satisfies 1/2<sigma <1. The composition vector of both discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-31 Brigitte Chauvin , Cécile Mailler , Nicolas Pouyanne

We consider an urn model with multiple drawing and random time-dependent addition matrix. The model is very general with respect to previous literature: the number of sampled balls at each time-step is random, the addition matrix has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Germana Minelli

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud

We answer Problem 11.1 of Janson arXiv:1803.04207 on P\'olya urns associated with stable random walk. Our proof use neither martingales nor trees, but an approximation with a differential equation.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie