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This paper estimates local tornado risk from records of past events using statistical models. First, a spatial model is fit to the tornado counts aggregated in counties with terms that control for changes in observational practices over…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-02-08 James B. Elsner , Thomas H. Jagger , Tyler Fricker

In 1999 the NWS began using the phrase "tornado emergency" to denote tornado warnings for storms with the potential to cause rare, catastrophic damage. After years of informal usage, tornado emergencies were formally introduced to 46…

Extreme weather events driven by climate change, such as wildfires, floods, and heatwaves, prompt significant public reactions on social media platforms. Analyzing the sentiment expressed in these online discussions can offer valuable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Pouya Shaeri , Yasaman Mohammadpour , Alimohammad Beigi , Ariane Middel

While it is well-documented that climate change accepters and deniers have become increasingly polarized in the United States over time, there has been no large-scale examination of whether these individuals are prone to changing their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Allison Koenecke , Jordi Feliu-Fabà

Large scale power failures induced by severe weather have become frequent and damaging in recent years, causing millions of people to be without electricity service for days. Although the power industry has been battling weather-induced…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Chuanyi Ji , Yun Wei , H. Vincent Poor

With climate change, we are expecting more frequent extreme weather events in many regions worldwide. These events can trigger disruptive, deadly natural hazards, which catch the attention of the media and raise awareness in citizens and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Marco Loche , Gianvito Scaringi

Climate hazards can escalate into humanitarian disasters. Understanding their trajectories -- considering hazard intensity, human exposure, and societal vulnerability -- is essential for effective anticipatory action. The International…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-05 Khalil Teber , Mélanie Weynants , Fabian Gans , Miguel D. Mahecha

We study collective attention paid towards hurricanes through the lens of $n$-grams on Twitter, a social media platform with global reach. Using hurricane name mentions as a proxy for awareness, we find that the exogenous temporal dynamics…

Holistic analysis of many real-world problems are based on data collected from multiple sources contributing to some aspect of that problem. The word fusion has also been used in the literature for such problems involving disparate data…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Abhishek Santra , Sanjukta Bhowmick , Sharma Chakravarthy

There is an increasing need for precise location information on historical disasters, such as mass casualty events caused by weather or earthquakes, but existing disaster datasets often do not provide geographic coordinates of past events.…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Ram M. Kripa , Nandini Ramesh , William R. Boos

Floods are among the most common and devastating natural hazards, imposing immense costs on our society and economy due to their disastrous consequences. Recent progress in weather prediction and spaceborne flood mapping demonstrated the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Brandon Victor , Mathilde Letard , Peter Naylor , Karim Douch , Nicolas Longépé , Zhen He , Patrick Ebel

This paper studies natural disasters and the psychological costs of climate change. It presents what we believe to be the first evidence that higher temperature variability and not a higher level of temperature is what predicts natural…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-24 Aatishya Mohanty , Nattavudh Powdthavee , Cheng Keat Tang , Andrew J. Oswald

There are numerous geo-climatic and human factors that contribute to the occurrence of natural disasters in the real-world scenario. Besides the study of causes and preconditions of such calamities, post-disaster analysis is essential for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Sukeerthi Mandyam , Shanmuga Priya , Shalini Suresh , Kavitha Srinivasan

We describe some bulk statistics of historical initial line outages and the implications for forming contingency lists and understanding which initial outages are likely to lead to further cascading. We use historical outage data to…

The ability to track large-scale events as they happen is essential for understanding them and coordinating reactions in an appropriate and timely manner. This is true, for example, in emergency management and decision-making support, where…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Carlo Bono , Barbara Pernici

Many data management applications must deal with data which is uncertain, incomplete, or noisy. However, on existing uncertain data representations, we cannot tractably perform the important query evaluation tasks of determining query…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Antoine Amarilli

This paper audits damage labels derived from coincident satellite and drone aerial imagery for 15,814 buildings across Hurricanes Ian, Michael, and Harvey, finding 29.02% label disagreement and significantly different distributions between…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Thomas Manzini , Priyankari Perali , Jayesh Tripathi , Robin Murphy

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Time series models often deal with extreme events and anomalies, both prevalent in real-world datasets. Such models often need to provide careful probabilistic forecasting, which is vital in risk management for extreme events such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-23 Ashkan Farhangi , Jiang Bian , Arthur Huang , Haoyi Xiong , Jun Wang , Zhishan Guo

While supporting the execution of business processes, information systems record event logs. Conformance checking relies on these logs to analyze whether the recorded behavior of a process conforms to the behavior of a normative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Han van der Aa , Henrik Leopold , Matthias Weidlich
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