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By proving a local limit theorem for higher-order transitions, we determine the time required for necklace chains to be close to stationarity. Because necklace chains, built by arranging identical smaller chains around a directed cycle, are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Elizabeth L. Wilmer

We consider continuous-time Markov chains which display a family of wells at the same depth. We provide sufficient conditions which entail the convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions of the order parameter to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Claudio Landim , Michail Loulakis , Mustapha Mourragui

We examine a constrained Markov decision process under uncertain transition probabilities, with the uncertainty modeled as deviations from observed transition probabilities. We construct the uncertainty set associated with the deviations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 V Varagapriya

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

We study Markov bases of decomposable graphical models consisting of primitive moves (i.e., square-free moves of degree two) by determining the structure of fibers of sample size two. We show that the number of elements of fibers of sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Hisayuki Hara , Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

The main goal of this paper is to develop an estimate for the entropy of random stationary ergodic symbolic sequences with elements belonging to a finite alphabet. We present here the detailed analytical study of the entropy for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-01 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Bar Light

We observe that the technique of Markov contraction can be used to establish measure concentration for a broad class of non-contracting chains. In particular, geometric ergodicity provides a simple and versatile framework. This leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss

In probability theory, the independence is a very fundamental concept, but with a little mystery. People can always easily manipulate it logistically but not geometrically, especially when it comes to the independence relationships among…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yan Zhang

Disordered pinning models deal with the (de)localization tran- sition of a polymer in interaction with a heterogeneous interface. In this paper, we focus on two models where the inhomogeneities at the interface are not independent but given…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-16 Julien Poisat

We consider continuous-time Markov chain on a finite state space X. We assume X can be clustered into several subsets such that the intra-transition rates within these subsets are of order $\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\epsilon})$ comparing to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-28 Wei Zhang

We study polynomial optimization problems whose objective has a composition or tensor train structure. These polynomials can be evaluated as a sequence of maps, giving rise to intermediate variables (``states'') of dimension lower than the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Llorenç Balada Gaggioli , Didier Henrion , Milan Korda

This paper studies limit theorems for Markov Chains with general state space under conditions which imply subgeometric ergodicity. We obtain a central limit theorem and moderate deviation principles for additive not necessarily bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Arnaud Guillin , Eric Moulines

We propose a general approach to the higher-order homogenization of discrete elastic networks made up of linear elastic beams or springs in dimension 2 or 3. The network may be nearly (rather than exactly) periodic: its elastic and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-04-18 Yang Ye , Basile Audoly , Claire Lestringant

We investigate an M/M/1 queue operating in two switching environments, where the switch is governed by a two-state time-homogeneous Markov chain. This model allows to describe a system that is subject to regular operating phases alternating…

We study the homogenization of a diffusion process which takes place in a binary structure formed by an ambiental connected phase surrounding a suspension of very small spheres distributed in an $\veps$-periodic network. The asymptotic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fadila Bentalha , Isabelle Gruais , Dan Polisevski