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This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

General characterizations of ergodic Markov chains have been developed in considerable detail. In this paper, we study the transience for discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, including the geometric transience and algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Yong-Hua Mao , Yan-Hong Song

This work investigates the almost sure stabilization of a class of regime-switching systems based on discrete-time observations of both continuous and discrete components. It develops Shao's work [SIAM J. Control Optim., 55(2017), pp.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Jinghai Shao , Fubao Xi

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

A Markov chain approach is applied to determine the capacity of a general class of q-ary ICI-free constrained systems that satisfy an arbitrary count constraint.

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-18 Navin Kashyap , Ron M. Roth , Paul H. Siegel

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

The two-receiver broadcast packet erasure channel with feedback and memory is studied. Memory is modeled using a finite-state Markov chain representing a channel state. Two scenarios are considered: (i) when the transmitter has causal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Michael Heindlmaier , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Ross McVinish , Philip K. Pollett

We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 N. Crampe , K. Mallick , E. Ragoucy , M. Vanicat

In this paper we study a non-stationary Markovian queueing model of a two-processor heterogeneous system with time-varying arrival and service rates. We obtain the bounds on the rate of convergence and find the main limiting characteristics…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-28 A. Zeifman , Y. Satin , K. Kiseleva , T. Panfilova , V. Korolev

We introduce multiple hidden Markov models (MHMMs) where an observed multivariate categorical time series depends on an unobservable multivariate Mar- kov chain. MHMMs provide an elegant framework for specifying various independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-17 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano

The statistical literature discusses different types of Markov properties for chain graphs that lead to four possible classes of chain graph Markov models. The different models are rather well understood when the observations are continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mathias Drton

Discrete dynamical systems in which model components take on categorical values have been successfully applied to biological networks to study their global dynamic behavior. Boolean models in particular have been used extensively. However,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-09 Etan Basser-Ravitz , Arman Darbar , Julia Chifman

Classical distribution testing assumes access to i.i.d. samples from the distribution that is being tested. We initiate the study of Markov chain testing, assuming access to a single trajectory of a Markov Chain. In particular, we observe a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Nick Gravin

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We prove that the three-state toric homogenous Markov chain model has Markov degree two. In algebraic terminology this means, that a certain class of toric ideals are generated by quadratic binomials. This was conjectured by Haws, Martin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Patrik Norén

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We prove that for every discrete-time linear switching system in two complex variables and with finitely many switching states, either the system is Lyapunov stable or there exists a trajectory which escapes to infinity with at least linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Ian D. Morris