Related papers: Non-parametric threshold estimation for classical …
This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The…
This paper is concerned with learning decision makers' preferences using data on observed choices from a finite set of risky alternatives. We propose a discrete choice model with unobserved heterogeneity in consideration sets and in…
We study a microscopic limit order book model, in which the order dynamics depend on the current best bid and ask price and the current volume density functions, simultaneously, and derive its macroscopic high-frequency dynamics. As opposed…
As a simplified model for subsurface flows elliptic equations may be utilized. Insufficient measurements or uncertainty in those are commonly modeled by a random coefficient, which then accounts for the uncertain permeability of a given…
In this article, we generalize the recent Discrete Time Random Walk (DTRW) algorithm, which was introduced for the computation of probability densities of fractional diffusion. Although it has the same computational complexity and shares…
We study structural equation modeling (SEM) for diffusion processes with jumps. Based on high-frequency data, we consider the parameter estimation and the goodness-of-fit test in the SEM. Using a threshold method, we propose the…
Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…
In this paper, we study the asymptotic of exit problem for controlled Markov diffusion processes with random jumps and vanishing diffusion terms, where the random jumps are introduced in order to modify the evolution of the controlled…
Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…
This paper deals with a copies-based continuously differentiable and strictly decreasing estimator of the drift function for stochastic differential equations defining recurrent diffusion processes. The first part of our paper deals with…
We propose a new model and estimation framework for spatiotemporal streamflow exceedances above a threshold that flexibly captures asymptotic dependence and independence in the tail of the distribution. We model streamflow using a mixture…
We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…
Recently, many studies have shed light on the high adaptivity of deep neural network methods in nonparametric regression models, and their superior performance has been established for various function classes. Motivated by this…
In this paper, we consider modeling time-dependent multi-server queues that include abandonments and retrials. For the performance analysis of those, fluid and diffusion models called "strong approximations" have been widely used in the…
Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…
We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…
A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on fractional diffusion equations and related random walk models. The fundamental solutions of these equations can be interpreted as probability densities evolving in time…
In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…
We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…
In this paper, we consider an age-structured jump model that arises as a description of continuous time random walks with infinite mean waiting time between jumps. We prove that under a suitable rescaling, this equation converges in the…