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Related papers: Stochastic MPC with Offline Uncertainty Sampling

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This paper studies closed-loop chance constrained control problems with disturbance feedback (equivalently state feedback) where state and input vectors must remain in a prescribed polytopic safe region with a predefined confidence level.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Hossein Sartipizadeh , Behçet Açikmeşe

We consider a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. Such uncertainty not only comes from the fact that the true probability law of the underlying stochastic process is unknown, but the parametric family…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

Modern stochastic optimization methods often rely on uniform sampling which is agnostic to the underlying characteristics of the data. This might degrade the convergence by yielding estimates that suffer from a high variance. A possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Zalán Borsos , Andreas Krause , Kfir Y. Levy

Stochastic dynamical systems have emerged as fundamental models across numerous application domains, providing powerful mathematical representations for capturing uncertain system behavior. In this paper, we address the problem of runtime…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-13 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Fanjiang Xu

This paper presents a robust adaptive learning Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for linear systems with parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances performing iterative tasks. The approach refines the parameter estimates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Hannes Petrenz , Johannes Köhler , Francesco Borrelli

We introduce methodology for real-time inference in general-state-space hidden Markov models. Specifically, we extend recent advances in controlled sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) methods-originally proposed for offline smoothing-to the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-04 Liwen Xue , Axel Finke , Adam M. Johansen

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Control and state estimation procedures need to be robust against imprecisely known parameters, uncertainty in initial conditions, and external disturbances. Interval methods and other set-based techniques form the basis for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Andreas Rauh , Marit Lahme , Simon Rohou , Luc Jaulin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Tarek Raissi , Mohamed Fnadi

Model predictive control (MPC) provides a useful means for controlling systems with constraints, but suffers from the computational burden of repeatedly solving an optimization problem in real time. Offline (explicit) solutions for MPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-14 Daniel Tabas , Baosen Zhang

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce scenario based stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables, which we can set, and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 S. Armagan Tarim , Suresh Manandhar , Toby Walsh

Predictive variability due to data ambiguities has typically been addressed via construction of dedicated models with built-in probabilistic capabilities that are trained to predict uncertainty estimates as variables of interest. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Katarína Tóthová , Ľubor Ladický , Daniel Thul , Marc Pollefeys , Ender Konukoglu

This brief introduction to Model Predictive Control specifically addresses stochastic Model Predictive Control, where probabilistic constraints are considered. A simple linear system subject to uncertainty serves as an example. The Matlab…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Tim Brüdigam

Model Predictive Control (MPC) has established itself as the primary methodology for constrained control, enabling autonomy across diverse applications. While model fidelity is crucial in MPC, solving the corresponding optimization problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-23 Lukas Schroth , Daniel Morton , Amon Lahr , Daniele Gammelli , Andrea Carron , Marco Pavone

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

A distributed model predictive control scheme is developed for tracking piecewise constant references where the terminal set is reconfigured online, whereas the terminal controller is computed offline. Unlike many standard existing schemes,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-20 Ahmed Aboudonia , Goran Banjac , Annika Eichler , John Lygeros

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

This paper presents a robust MPC scheme for linear systems subject to time-varying, uncertain constraints that arise from uncertain environments. The predicted input sequence is parameterized over future environment states to guarantee…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-16 Philipp Buschermöhle , Taouba Jouini , Torsten Lilge , Matthias A. Müller
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