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Agents often have individual goals which depend on a group's actions. If agents trust a forecast of collective action and adapt strategically, such prediction can influence outcomes non-trivially, resulting in a form of performative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 António Góis , Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Fernando P. Santos , Gauthier Gidel , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

We propose a model of inference and heuristic decision-making in groups that is rooted in the Bayes rule but avoids the complexities of rational inference in partially observed environments with incomplete information, which are…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-04 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

Large-scale data resulting from users online interactions provide the ultimate source of information to study emergent social phenomena on the Web. From individual actions of users to observable collective behaviors, different mechanisms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Marija Mitrović , Georgios Paltoglou , Bosiljka Tadić

To interact with humans in collaborative environments, machines need to be able to predict (i.e., anticipate) future events, and execute actions in a timely manner. However, the observation of the human limb movements may not be sufficient…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Clebeson Canuto , Plinio Moreno , Jorge Samatelo , Raquel Vassallo , José Santos-Victor

Individual and social biases undermine the effectiveness of human advisers by inducing judgment errors which can disadvantage protected groups. In this paper, we study the influence these biases can have in the pervasive problem of fake…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Axel Abels , Elias Fernandez Domingos , Ann Nowé , Tom Lenaerts

Collective motion is ubiquitous in nature; groups of animals, such as fish, birds, and ungulates appear to move as a whole, exhibiting a rich behavioral repertoire that ranges from directed movement to milling to disordered swarming.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-05-15 Conor Heins , Beren Millidge , Lancelot da Costa , Richard Mann , Karl Friston , Iain Couzin

Human decision making can be challenging to predict because decisions are affected by a number of complex factors. Adding to this complexity, decision-making processes can differ considerably between individuals, and methods aimed at…

Predicting the evacuation decisions of individuals before the disaster strikes is crucial for planning first response strategies. In addition to the studies on post-disaster analysis of evacuation behavior, there are various works that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Toru Shimizu , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Understanding movement in heterogeneous groups is important for a meaningful evaluation of evacuation prediction and for a proper design of buildings. The understanding of interactions and influencing factors in heterogeneous groups on key…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-11 Paul Geoerg , Jette Schumann , Maik Boltes , Stefan Holl , Anja Hofmann

Computer based models describing pedestrian behavior in an emergency evacuation play a vital role in the development of active strategies that minimize the evacuation time when a closed area must be evacuated. The reference model has a…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-01-22 Pablo Cristian Tissera , Alicia Castro , A. Marcela Printista , Emilio Luque

The collective decision-making exhibited by animal groups provides enormous inspiration for multi-agent control system design as it embodies several features that are desirable in engineered networks, including robustness and adaptability,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Alessio Franci , Vaibhav Srivastava , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

Group decisions involve the combination of evidence accumulation by individual members and direct member-to-member interactions. We consider a simplified framework of two deciders, each undergoing a two alternative forced choice task, with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-12 Reginald J. Caginalp , Brent Doiron

Humans and other animals often follow the decisions made by others because these are indicative of the quality of possible choices, resulting in `social response rules': observed relationships between the probability that an agent will make…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-28 Richard P. Mann

We investigate how individuals form expectations about population behavior using statistical inference based on observations of their social relations. Misperceptions about others' connectedness and behavior arise from sampling bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-27 Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Martin Benedikt Busch

We analyze the dynamics of room evacuation for mixed populations that include both competitive and cooperative individuals through numerical simulations using the social force model. Cooperative agents represent well-trained individuals who…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-17 Amir Zablotsky , Marcelo N Kuperman , Sebastián Bouzat

Human activities increasingly take place in online environments, providing novel opportunities for relating individual behaviours to population-level outcomes. In this paper, we introduce a simple generative model for the collective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-24 James P. Gleeson , Davide Cellai , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Mason A. Porter , Felix Reed-Tsochas

To minimize property loss and death count in terror attacks and other emergent scenarios, attention given to timely and effective evacuation cannot be enough. Due to limited evacuation resource, i.e., number of available exits, there exists…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Zhiguo Zhou , Huiyu Cai , Zhixuan Zhou

It is highly believed that the individuals' mobility plays an important role in phase transition in animal collective motion. Here, we propose a model to study the effects of individuals' mobility in a distributed animal collective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-26 Feng Hu , Zhi Ting Wang , Fang Yang

The bounded rationality is a crucial component in human behaviors. It plays a key role in the typical collective behavior of evacuation, in which the heterogeneous information leads to the deviation of rational choices. In this study, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-28 Huaidian Hou , Lingxiao Wang