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Time series data are ubiquitous nowadays. Whereas most of the literature on the topic deals with real-valued time series, categorical time series have received much less attention. However, the development of data mining techniques for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-26 Ángel López Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

This paper introduces an R package ForecastTB that can be used to compare the accuracy of different forecasting methods as related to the characteristics of a time series dataset. The ForecastTB is a plug-and-play structured module, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde , Zaher Mundher Yaseen , Gorm Bruun Andersen

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF extends the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, traditionally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ilia Azizi , Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Reasoning on large and complex real-world models is a computationally difficult task, yet one that is required for effective use of many AI applications. A plethora of inference algorithms have been developed that work well on specific…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Avi Pfeffer , Brian Ruttenberg , William Kretschmer

The R package BNSP provides a unified framework for semiparametric location-scale regression and stochastic search variable selection. The statistical methodology that the package is built upon utilizes basis function expansions to…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-10-09 Georgios Papageorgiou

Finite mixture modelling provides a framework for cluster analysis based on parsimonious Gaussian mixture models. Variable or feature selection is of particular importance in situations where only a subset of the available variables provide…

Computation · Statistics 2014-11-04 Luca Scrucca , Adrian E. Raftery

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

This article describes tsmp, an R package that implements the matrix profile concept for time series. The tsmp package is a toolkit that allows all-pairs similarity joins, motif, discords and chains discovery, semantic segmentation, etc.…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Francisco Bischoff , Pedro Pereira Rodrigues

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

The Stochastic Block Model (SBM) is a popular probabilistic model for random graphs. It is commonly used for clustering network data by aggregating nodes that share similar connectivity patterns into blocks. When fitting an SBM to a network…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-28 Pierre Barbillon , Julien Chiquet , Timothée Tabouy

A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

Over the last three decades, ensemble forecasts have become an integral part of forecasting the weather. They provide users with more complete information than single forecasts as they permit to estimate the probability of weather events by…

In this paper we propose a novel R package, called rsurv, developed for general survival data simulation purposes. The package is built under a new approach to simulate survival data that depends heavily on the use of dplyr verbs. The…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-05 Fábio N. Demarqui

In recent years, there has been a surge in effort to formalize notions of fairness in machine learning. We focus on centroid clustering--one of the fundamental tasks in unsupervised machine learning. We propose a new axiom ``proportionally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Haris Aziz , Barton E. Lee , Sean Morota Chu , Jeremy Vollen

Clustering algorithms are among the most widely used data mining methods due to their exploratory power and being an initial preprocessing step that paves the way for other techniques. But the problem of calculating the optimal number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Md Nishat Raihan

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

The 21st century has witnessed a growing interest in the analysis of time series data. Whereas most of the literature on the topic deals with real-valued time series, ordinal time series have typically received much less attention. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Ángel López Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

In several application domains, high-dimensional observations are collected and then analysed in search for naturally occurring data clusters which might provide further insights about the nature of the problem. In this paper we describe a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-07 Brian McWilliams , Giovanni Montana