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Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT) are probably the most popular set of statistical learning methods. However, their statistical consistency can only be proved under very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Haoran Zhan , Yu Liu , Yingcun Xia

The linear regression model is widely used in empirical work in Economics, Statistics, and many other disciplines. Researchers often include many covariates in their linear model specification in an attempt to control for confounders. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Whitney K. Newey

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Group fairness is an important concern for machine learning researchers, developers, and regulators. However, the strictness to which models must be constrained to be considered fair is still under debate. The focus of this work is on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-27 Jack Fitzsimons , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Scaling regression to large datasets is a common problem in many application areas. We propose a two step approach to scaling regression to large datasets. Using a regression tree (CART) to segment the large dataset constitutes the first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-26 Rajiv Sambasivan , Sourish Das

Hash codes are a very efficient data representation needed to be able to cope with the ever growing amounts of data. We introduce a random forest semantic hashing scheme with information-theoretic code aggregation, showing for the first…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Qiang Qiu , Guillermo Sapiro , Alex Bronstein

Camera relocalization plays a vital role in many robotics and computer vision tasks, such as global localization, recovery from tracking failure, and loop closure detection. Recent random forests based methods directly predict 3D world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Lili Meng , Jianhui Chen , Frederick Tung , James J. Little , Julien Valentin , Clarence W. de Silva

Regression-via-Classification (RvC) is the process of converting a regression problem to a classification one. Current approaches for RvC use ad-hoc discretization strategies and are suboptimal. We propose a neural regression tree model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Shahan Ali Memon , Wenbo Zhao , Bhiksha Raj , Rita Singh

Latent tree analysis seeks to model the correlations among a set of random variables using a tree of latent variables. It was proposed as an improvement to latent class analysis --- a method widely used in social sciences and medicine to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Nevin L. Zhang , Leonard K. M. Poon

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

Adapting machine learning algorithms to better handle the presence of clusters or batch effects within training datasets is important across a wide variety of biological applications. This article considers the effect of ensembling Random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Maya Ramchandran , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Giovanni Parmigiani

Tree ensemble models such as random forests and boosted trees are among the most widely used and practically successful predictive models in applied machine learning and business analytics. Although such models have been used to make…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Velibor V. Mišić

We explore generalizations of some integrated learning and optimization frameworks for data-driven contextual stochastic optimization that can adapt to heteroscedasticity. We identify conditions on the stochastic program, data generation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James Luedtke

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

The tree-based ensembles are known for their outstanding performance in classification and regression problems characterized by feature vectors represented by mixed-type variables from various ranges and domains. However, considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Patryk Wielopolski , Maciej Zięba

Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu

Decision trees are widely used for interpretable machine learning due to their clearly structured reasoning process. However, this structure belies a challenge we refer to as predictive equivalence: a given tree's decision boundary can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Hayden McTavish , Zachery Boner , Jon Donnelly , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin