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This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC technique in the smoothing mode is that the resampling mechanism introduces…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-06 Jimmy Olsson , Olivier Cappé , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

Model averaging has received much attention in the past two decades, which integrates available information by averaging over potential models. Although various model averaging methods have been developed, there are few literatures on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-27 Hengkun Zhu , Guohua Zou

We provide a primer to numerical methods based on Taylor series expansions such as generalized finite difference methods and collocation methods. We provide a detailed benchmarking strategy for these methods as well as all data files…

We present an approach for penalized tensor decomposition (PTD) that estimates smoothly varying latent factors in multi-way data. This generalizes existing work on sparse tensor decomposition and penalized matrix decompositions, in a manner…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

Tensor decomposition methods allow us to learn the parameters of latent variable models through decomposition of low-order moments of data. A significant limitation of these algorithms is that there exists no general method to regularize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Omer Gottesman , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Model selection strategies have been routinely employed to determine a model for data analysis in statistics, and further study and inference then often proceed as though the selected model were the true model that were known a priori. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Priyam Mitra , Heng Lian , Ritwik Mitra , Hua Liang , Min-ge Xie

We propose a high-precision numerical quadrature framework based on local Fourier extension (LFE) approximations. The method constructs, on each subinterval, a truncated-SVD stabilized local Fourier continuation of the integrand on an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Xinran Liu , Zhenyu Zhao , Benxue Gong

We present a convex approach to probabilistic segmentation and modeling of time series data. Our approach builds upon recent advances in multivariate total variation regularization, and seeks to learn a separate set of parameters for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Matt Wytock , J. Zico Kolter

Tweedie regression models provide a flexible family of distributions to deal with non-negative highly right-skewed data as well as symmetric and heavy tailed data and can handle continuous data with probability mass at zero. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Célestin C. Kokonendji

The present work introduces and investigates an explicit time discretization scheme, called the projected Euler method,to numerically approximate random periodic solutions of semi-linear SDEs under non-globally Lipschitz conditions. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Yujia Guo , Xiaojie Wang , Yue Wu

Measuring the growth rate of large-scale structures (f) as a function of redshift has the potential to break degeneracies between modified gravity and dark energy models, when combined with expansion-rate probes. Direct estimates of…

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Estimation in generalized linear models (GLM) is complicated by the presence of constraints. One can handle constraints by maximizing a penalized log-likelihood. Penalties such as the lasso are effective in high dimensions, but often lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Jason Xu , Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

We propose a novel $\ell_1+\ell_2$-penalty, which we refer to as the Generalized Elastic Net, for regression problems where the feature vectors are indexed by vertices of a given graph and the true signal is believed to be smooth or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Huy Tran , Sansen Wei , Claire Donnat

We study the problem of likelihood maximization when the likelihood function is intractable but model simulations are readily available. We propose a sequential, gradient-based optimization method that directly models the Fisher score based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Sherman Khoo , Yakun Wang , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

A novel numerical method for the estimation of large time-varying parameter (TVP) models is proposed. The updating and smoothing estimates of the TVP model are derived within the context of generalised linear least squares and through…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Stella Hadjiantoni , Erricos J. Kontoghiorghes

We extend nonparametric regression smoothing splines to a context where there is endogeneity and instrumental variables are available. Unlike popular existing estimators, the resulting estimator is one-step and relies on a unique…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Jad Beyhum , Elia Lapenta , Pascal Lavergne

Precisely estimating out-of-sample upper quantiles is very important in risk assessment and in engineering practice for structural design to prevent a greater disaster. For this purpose, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jihong Park , Jeong-Soo Park

Given a data set (t_i, y_i), i=1,..., n with the t_i in [0,1] non-parametric regression is concerned with the problem of specifying a suitable function f_n:[0,1] -> R such that the data can be reasonably approximated by the points (t_i,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-18 P. L. Davies , M. Meise

Large samples have been generated routinely from various sources. Classic statistical models, such as smoothing spline ANOVA models, are not well equipped to analyze such large samples due to expensive computational costs. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Xiaoxiao Sun , Wenxuan Zhong , Ping Ma
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