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In many complex systems, for the activity f(i) of the constituents or nodes i, a power-law relationship was discovered between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average strength of the activity: sigma(i) ~ <f(i)>^alpha; universal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

A second-order random walk on a graph or network is a random walk where transition probabilities depend not only on the present node but also on the previous one. A notable example is the non-backtracking random walk, where the walker is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Dario Fasino , Arianna Tonetto , Francesco Tudisco

We present a heuristic derivation of the first passage time exponent for the integral of a random walk [Y. G. Sinai, Theor. Math. Phys. {\bf 90}, 219 (1992)]. Building on this derivation, we construct an estimation scheme to understand the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. M. Schwarz , Ron Maimon

As a model of market price, we introduce a new type of random walk in a moving potential which is approximated by a quadratic function with its center given by the moving average of its own trace. The properties of resulting random walks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Misako Takayasu , Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu

Continuous-time random walks offer powerful coarse-grained descriptions of transport processes. We here microscopically derive such a model for a Brownian particle diffusing in a deep periodic potential. We determine both the waiting-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-21 Andreas Dechant , Farina Kindermann , Artur Widera , Eric Lutz

We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric independent and identically distributed random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Catherine Matias

A random walk with counterbalanced steps is a process of partial sums $\check S(n)=\check X_1+ \cdots + \check X_n$ whose steps $\check X_n$ are given recursively as follows. For each $n\geq 2$, with a fixed probability $p$, $\check X_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Jean Bertoin

We study the search kinetics of an immobile target by a concentration of randomly moving searchers. The object of the study is to optimize the probability of detection within the constraints of our model. The target is hidden on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. Oshanin , H. S. Wio , K. Lindenberg , S. F. Burlatsky

We formulate the first order Fermi acceleration in parallel shock waves in terms of the random walk theory. The formulation is applicable to any value of the shock speed and the particle speed, in particular to the acceleration in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 T. N. Kato , F. Takahara

We introduce the notion of \emph{localization at the boundary} for conditioned random walks in i.i.d. and uniformly elliptic random environment on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, in dimensions two and higher. Informally, this means that the walk spends a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Rodrigo Bazaes

We consider one infinite path of a Random Walk in Random Environment (RWRE, for short) in an unknown environment. This environment consists of either i.i.d.\ site or bond randomness. At each position the random walker stops and tells us the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-16 Jonas Jalowy , Matthias Löwe

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk to the study of financial data. The entire distribution of prices can be obtained once two auxiliary densities are known. These are the probability densities for the pausing time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , George H. Weiss

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on generalized diffusion equations (containing derivatives of fractional order in space or/and time) and related random walk models. The fundamental solution (for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Daniele Moretti , Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

This work presents global random walk approximations of solutions to one-dimensional Stefan-type moving-boundary problems. We are particularly interested in the case when the moving boundary is driven by an explicit representation of its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Nicolae Suciu , Surendra Nepal , Yosief Wondmagegne , Magnus Ögren , Adrian Muntean

This paper states a law of large numbers for a random walk in a random iid environment on ${\mathbb Z}^d$, where the environment follows some Dirichlet distribution. Moreover, we give explicit bounds for the asymptotic velocity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot

We prove new mixing rate estimates for the random walks on homogeneous spaces determined by a probability distribution on a finite group $G$. We introduce the switched random walk determined by a finite set of probability distributions on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Elvira Moreno , Mauricio Velasco

A one-dimensional confined Nonlinear Random Walk is a tuple of $N$ diffeomorphisms of the unit interval driven by a probabilistic Markov chain. For generic such walks, we obtain a geometric characterization of their ergodic stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Victor Kleptsyn , Denis Volk

In recent years there has been substantial development in algorithms for quantum phase estimation. In this work we provide a new approach to online Bayesian phase estimation that achieves Heisenberg limited scaling that requires…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-10 Cassandra Granade , Nathan Wiebe