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In this paper we derive novel change of variable formulas for stochastic integrals w.r.t. a time-changed Brownian motion where we assume that the time-change is a general increasing stochastic process with finitely many jumps in a bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Giulia Di Nunno , Hannes Haferkorn , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

Shot-Noise processes constitute a useful tool in various areas, in particular in finance. They allow to model abrupt changes in a more flexible way than processes with jumps and hence are an ideal tool for modelling stock prices, credit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-01 Thorsten Schmidt

This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

We consider the supOU stochastic volatility model which is able to exhibit long-range dependence. For this model we give conditions for the discounted stock price to be a martingale, calculate the characteristic function, give a strip where…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-08 Robert Stelzer , Jovana Zavišin

For a real Borel measurable function b, which satisfies certain integrability conditions, it is possible to define a stochastic integral of the process b(Y) with respect to a Brownian motion W, where Y is a diffusion driven by W. It is well…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-06 Aleksandar Mijatović , Nika Novak , Mikhail Urusov

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

Let $(Z_t)_{t\geq 0}$ denote the derivative martingale of branching Brownian motion, i.e.\@ the derivative with respect to the inverse temperature of the normalized partition function at critical temperature. A well-known result by Lalley…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Michel Pain

The present paper proposes a new framework for describing the stock price dynamics. In the traditional geometric Brownian motion model and its variants, volatility plays a vital role. The modern studies of asset pricing expand around…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Ben Duan , Yutian Li , Dawei Lu , Yang Lu , Ran Zhang

We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We obtain option pricing formulas for stock price models in which the drift and volatility terms are functionals of a continuous history of the stock prices. That is, the stock dynamics follows a nonlinear stochastic functional differential…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Flavia Sancier , Salah Mohammed

When the \textit{martingale representation property} holds, we call any local martingale which realizes the representation a \textit{representation process}. There are two properties of the \textit{representation process} which can greatly…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Shiqi Song

The trade of a fixed stock can be regarded as the basic process that measures its momentary price. The stock price is exactly known only at the time of sale when the stock is between traders, that is, only in the case when the owner is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-12 Liviu-Adrian Cotfas

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Foad Shokrollahi

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Abby Tan