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The score test statistic using the observed information is easy to compute numerically. Its large sample distribution under the null hypothesis is well known and is equivalent to that of the score test based on the expected information, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-10 N. Karavarsamis , G. Guillera-Arroita , RM Huggins , B J T Morgan

Simulation offers a simple and flexible way to estimate the power of a clinical trial when analytic formulae are not available. The computational burden of using simulation has, however, restricted its application to only the simplest of…

For testing hypothesis on the covariance operator of functional time series, we suggest to use the full functional information and to avoid dimension reduction techniques. The limit distribution follows from the central limit theorem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

Experimentation platforms in industry must often deal with customer trust issues. Platforms must prove the validity of their claims as well as catch issues that arise. As a central quantity estimated by experimentation platforms, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kedar Karhadkar , Jack Klys , Daniel Ting , Artem Vorozhtsov , Houssam Nassif

Theoretical developments on cross validation (CV) have mainly focused on selecting one among a list of finite-dimensional models (e.g., subset or order selection in linear regression) or selecting a smoothing parameter (e.g., bandwidth for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Yuhong Yang

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

A non parametric method based on the empirical likelihood is proposed for detecting the change in the coefficients of high-dimensional linear model where the number of model variables may increase as the sample size increases. This amounts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Gabriela Ciuperca , Zahraa Salloum

Cross-validation (CV) is known to provide asymptotically exact tests and confidence intervals for model improvement but only when the model comparison is relatively stable. Surprisingly, we prove that even simple, individually stable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

We propose a general purpose confidence interval procedure (CIP) for statistical functionals constructed using data from a stationary time series. The procedures we propose are based on derived distribution-free analogues of the $\chi^2$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Ziwei Su , Raghu Pasupathy , Yingchieh Yeh , Peter W. Glynn

A new bivariate partial sum process for locally stationary time series is introduced and its weak convergence to a Brownian sheet is established. This construction enables the development of a novel self-normalized CUSUM test statistic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Florian Heinrichs

We can, and should, do statistical inference on simulation models by adjusting the parameters in the simulation so that the values of {\em randomly chosen} functions of the simulation output match the values of those same functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Cross-validation is one of the most popular model selection methods in statistics and machine learning. Despite its wide applicability, traditional cross validation methods tend to select overfitting models, due to the ignorance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Jing Lei

Classical tests of fit typically reject a model for large enough real data samples. In contrast, often in statistical practice a model offers a good description of the data even though it is not the "true" random generator. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Eustasio del Barrio , Hristo Inouzhe , Carlos Matrán

We propose a novel method for testing serial independence of object-valued time series in metric spaces, which is more general than Euclidean or Hilbert spaces. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, free of tuning parameters, and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Feiyu Jiang , Hanjia Gao , Xiaofeng Shao

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

In this paper, we consider testing the martingale difference hypothesis for high-dimensional time series. Our test is built on the sum of squares of the element-wise max-norm of the proposed matrix-valued nonlinear dependence measure at…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Qing Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

The estimated accuracy of a classifier is a random quantity with variability. A common practice in supervised machine learning, is thus to test if the estimated accuracy is significantly better than chance level. This method of signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Jonathan D. Rosenblatt , Yuval Benjamini , Roee Gilron , Roy Mukamel , Jelle J. Goeman

Human Activity Recognition using wearable inertial sensors is foundational to healthcare monitoring, fitness analytics, and context-aware computing, yet its deployment is hindered by cross-user variability arising from heterogeneous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Xiaozhou Ye , Feng Jiang , Zihan Wang , Xiulai Wang , Yutao Zhang , Kevin I-Kai Wang