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The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) or COM-Poison regression is a popular model for count data due to its ability to capture both under dispersion and over dispersion. However, CMP regression is limited when dealing with complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distribution is a natural two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution which has received some attention in the statistics literature in recent years by offering flexible generalisations of some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Fraser Daly , Robert E. Gaunt

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

Poisson regression is a popular tool for modeling count data and is applied in a vast array of applications from the social to the physical sciences and beyond. Real data, however, are often over- or under-dispersed and, thus, not conducive…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-10 Kimberly F. Sellers , Galit Shmueli

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic mortality modelling by using the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson (CMP) distribution to model death counts. Unlike standard Poisson or negative binomial distributions, the CMP is a more adaptable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jackie Siaw Tze Wong , Emiliano A. Valdez

We show that the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson distribution can be arbitrarily underdispersed when parametrized via its mean. More precisely, if the mean $\mu$ is an integer then the limiting distribution is a unit probability mass at $\mu$. If…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Alan Huang

Bayesian models that can handle both over and under dispersed counts are rare in the literature, perhaps because full probability distributions for dispersed counts are rather difficult to construct. This note takes a first look at Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Andy Sang Il Kim

We propose a flexible model for count time series which has potential uses for both underdispersed and overdispersed data. The model is based on the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution with parameters varying along time to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-23 Ricardo S Ehlers

In the analysis of count data often the equidispersion assumption is not suitable, hence the Poisson regression model is inappropriate. As a generalization of the Poisson distribution, the COM-Poisson distribution can deal with under-,…

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions represents a challenging suite of problems in modern statistics. In this work we analyse the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution, a two parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-13 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Count data with complex features arise in many disciplines, including ecology, agriculture, criminology, medicine, and public health. Zero inflation, spatial dependence, and non-equidispersion are common features in count data. There are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Bokgyeong Kang , John Hughes , Murali Haran

Count data play a crucial role in sports analytics, providing valuable insights into various aspects of the game. Models that accurately capture the characteristics of count data are essential for making reliable inferences. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-26 Mauro Florez , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution is a two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution that can be used to model data that is under- or over-dispersed relative to the Poisson distribution. The normalizing constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Robert E. Gaunt , Satish Iyengar , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis , Burcin Simsek

While the hurdle Poisson regression is a popular class of models for count data with excessive zeros, the link function in the binary component may be unsuitable for highly imbalanced cases. Ordinary Poisson regression is unable to handle…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-14 Shuang Yin , Dipak K. Dey , Emiliano A. Valdez , Xiaomeng Li

Researchers are often interested in understanding the relationship between a set of covariates and a set of response variables. To achieve this goal, the use of regression analysis, either linear or generalized linear models, is largely…

Imputation of missing values is a strategy for handling non-responses in surveys or data loss in measurement processes, which may be more effective than ignoring them. When the variable represents a count, the literature dealing with this…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-31 Gilma Hernández-Herrera , Albert Navarro , David Moriña

We propose a tree-based semi-varying coefficient model for the Conway-Maxwell- Poisson (CMP or COM-Poisson) distribution which is a two-parameter generalization of the Poisson distribution and is flexible enough to capture both…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

Categorical data are often observed as counts resulting from a fixed number of trials in which each trial consists of making one selection from a prespecified set of categories. The multinomial distribution serves as a standard model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Darcy Steeg Morris , Andrew M. Raim , Kimberly F. Sellers

An essential character for a distribution to play a central role in the limit theory is infinite divisibility. In this note, we prove that the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distribution is infinitely divisible iff it is the Poisson or…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Xi Geng , Aihua Xia

Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Dexter Cahoy , Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito
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