English
Related papers

Related papers: Directional Multivariate Extremes in Environmental…

200 papers

The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-17 A. C. Davison , S. A. Padoan , M. Ribatet

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

Multivariate extreme value analysis quantifies the probability and magnitude of joint extreme events. River discharges from the upper Danube River basin provide a challenging dataset for such analysis because the data, which is measured on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Aiden Farrell , Emma F. Eastoe , Clement Lee

The study of multivariate extremes is dominated by multivariate regular variation, although it is well known that this approach does not provide adequate distinction between random vectors whose components are not always simultaneously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Natalia Nolde , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Conditionally specified models are often used to describe complex multivariate data. Such models assume implicit structures on the extremes. So far, no methodology exists for calculating extremal characteristics of conditional models since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Stan Tendijck , Jonathan Tawn , Philip Jonathan

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

The behavior of extreme observations is well-understood for time series or spatial data, but little is known if the data generating process is a structural causal model (SCM). We study the behavior of extremes in this model class, both for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Frank Röttger

Multivariate extreme value models are used to estimate joint risk in a number of applications, with a particular focus on environmental fields ranging from climatology and hydrology to oceanography and seismic hazards. The semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Rob Lamb , Chris Sherlock

The paper introduces a new regression model designed for situations where both the response and covariates are non-stationary extremes. This method is specifically designed for situations where both the response variable and covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

Understanding the complex structure of multivariate extremes is a major challenge in various fields from portfolio monitoring and environmental risk management to insurance. In the framework of multivariate Extreme Value Theory, a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Hamid Jalalzai , Rémi Leluc

From environmental sciences to finance, there is a growing demand for methods that can assess the risks of extreme events beyond those observed in available data. Extrapolating extreme events beyond the range of the data is not obvious.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Capturing the dependence structure of multivariate extreme events is a major concern in many fields involving the management of risks stemming from multiple sources, e.g. portfolio monitoring, insurance, environmental risk management and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-15 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We analyze extremes of traffic flow profiles composed of traffic counts over a day. The data is essentially curves and determining which trajectory should be classified as extreme is not straight forward. To assess the extremes of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-07 Maria Osipenko

Extreme values of real phenomena are events that occur with low frequency, but can have a large impact on real life. These are, in many practical problems, high-dimensional by nature (e.g. Tawn, 1990; Coles and Tawn, 1991). To study these…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Estimation of extreme quantile regions, spaces in which future extreme events can occur with a given low probability, even beyond the range of the observed data, is an important task in the analysis of extremes. Existing methods to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-28 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

Extreme sea level estimates are fundamental for mitigating against coastal flooding as they provide insight for defence engineering. As the global climate changes, rising sea levels combined with increases in storm intensity and frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A. Tawn