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Related papers: Schwarz type model comparison for LAQ models

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We prove the asymptotic mixed normality of the least absolute deviation (LAD) estimator for a locally $\alpha$-stable stochastic differential equation (SDE) observed at high frequency, where $\alpha\in(0,2)$. We investigate both ergodic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Oleksii M. Kulyk , Hiroki Masuda

We study local asymptotic properties of likelihood ratios of certain Heston models. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical models. For the drift parameters, local asymptotic normality is proved in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Local projections (LPs) are widely used for impulse response analysis, but Bayesian methods face challenges due to the absence of a likelihood function. Existing approaches rely on pseudo-likelihoods, which often result in poorly calibrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Masahiro Tanaka

We consider Bayesian variable selection in sparse high-dimensional regression, where the number of covariates $p$ may be large relative to the samples size $n$, but at most a moderate number $q$ of covariates are active. Specifically, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton , Kean Ming Tan

We consider a coupled top model describing two interacting large spins, which is studied semiclassically as well as quantum mechanically. This model exhibits variety of interesting phenomena such as quantum phase transition (QPT), dynamical…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2020-09-02 Debabrata Mondal , Sudip Sinha , S. Sinha

We present a framework for approximate Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained due to computational constraints, which is becoming increasingly common for applications of complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

The paper is concerned with overlapping domain decomposition and exponential time differencing for the diffusion equation discretized in space by cell-centered finite differences. Two localized exponential time differencing methods are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Thi-Thao-Phuong Hoang , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

Near-Gaussian probability densities are common in many important physical applications. Here we develop an asymptotic expansion methodology for computing entropic functionals for such densities. The expansion proposed is a close relative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Gordon V. Chavez , Richard Kleeman

Diffusion models for continuous state spaces based on Gaussian noising processes are now relatively well understood from both practical and theoretical perspectives. In contrast, results for diffusion models on discrete state spaces remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Gael Raoul

The non-Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator is frequently used in GARCH models with intension to improve the efficiency of the GARCH parameters. However, unless the quasi-likelihood happens to be the true one, non-Gaussian QMLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-15 Lei Qi , Dacheng Xiu , Jianqing Fan

Consider a scalar reflected diffusion $(X_t:t\geq 0)$, where the unknown drift function $b$ is modelled nonparametrically. We show that in the low frequency sampling case, when the sample consists of $(X_0,X_\Delta,...,X_{n\Delta})$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Sven Wang

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We study transient patterns appearing in a class of SPDE using the framework of quasi-stationary and quasi-ergodic measures. In particular, we prove the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary and quasi-ergodic measures for a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Zachary P. Adams

This study analyzes the nonasymptotic convergence behavior of the quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method with applications to linear elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with lognormal coefficients. Building upon the error analysis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yang Liu , Raúl Tempone

Contemporary focus on selective inference has renewed interest in the theory of selection models. In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic properties of selection models built on independent and identically distributed observations. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

We introduce the notion of perturbations of quantum stochastic models using the series product, and establish the asymptotic convergence of sequences of quantum stochastic models under the assumption that they are related via a right series…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-04-18 Luc Bouten , John E. Gough

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-12 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais