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Related papers: Schwarz type model comparison for LAQ models

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For an ergodic Brownian diffusion with invariant measure $\nu$, we consider a sequence of empirical distributions ($\nu$n) n$\ge$1 associated with an approximation scheme with decreasing time step ($\gamma$n) n$\ge$1 along an adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 I Honoré

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper investigates the quasi-maximum likelihood inference including estimation, model selection and diagnostic checking for linear double autoregressive (DAR) models, where all asymptotic properties are established under only…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Hua Liu , Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

We consider the problem of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free test by the observations of ergodic diffusion process. It is supposedd that under the basic hypothesis the trend coefficient depends on the finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 M. Kleptsyna , Yu. A. Kutoyants

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

Inspired by problems in biochemical kinetics, we study statistical properties of an overdamped Langevin process whose friction coefficient depends on the state of a similar, unobserved process. Integrating out the latter, we derive the long…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-13 Golan Bel , Ilya Nemenman

Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Bacry , A. Kozhemyak , J. -F. Muzy

We consider the case of performing Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic compartment models, using incomplete time course data consisting of incidence counts that are either the number of new infections or removals in time intervals of…

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

We study the asymptotic theory of misspecified models for diffusion processes with noisy nonsynchronous observations. Unlike with correctly specified models, the original maximum-likelihood-type estimator has an asymptotic bias under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Teppei Ogihara

In many applications, it is often necessary to sample the mean value of certain quantity with respect to a probability measure {\mu} on the level set of a smooth function $\xi: \mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow \mathbb{R}^k$, $1\le k < d$. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Wei Zhang

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Quasi-geostrophic (QG) theory is of fundamental importance in the study of large-scale atmospheric flows. In recent years, there has been growing interest in extending the classical QG plus Ekman friction layer model (QG-Ekman) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-01 Daniel Bäumer , Sabine Hittmeir , Rupert Klein

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

Piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs) form a versatile class of stochastic hybrid systems that combine continuous diffusion processes with discrete event-driven dynamics, enabling flexible modelling of complex real-world hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah , Irene Tubikanec

This paper develops a quantized Q-learning algorithm for the optimal control of controlled diffusion processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ under both discounted and ergodic (average) cost criteria. We first establish near-optimality of finite-state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Erhan Bayraktar , Ali D. Kara , Somnath Pradhan , Serdar Yuksel