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This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

Recently, different communities in computer science, telecommunication and control systems have devoted a huge effort towards the design of energy efficient solutions for data transmission and network management. This paper collocates along…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Angelo Cenedese , Marco Michielan , Federico Tramarin , Stefano Vitturi

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

We propose an IoT energy service provisioning framework to ensure consumers' Quality of Experience (QoE). A novel context-aware trust assessment model is proposed to evaluate the trustworthiness of providers. Our model adapts to the dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-03 Amani Abusafia , Athman Bouguettaya , Abdallah Lakhdari , Abdallah Lakhdari

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

Energy harvesting offers an attractive and promising mechanism to power low-energy devices. However, it alone is insufficient to enable an energy-neutral operation, which can eliminate tedious battery charging and replacement requirements.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Yigit Tuncel , Ganapati Bhat , Jaehyun Park , Umit Ogras

Time series in energy systems, such as solar irradiance, wind speed, or electrical load, are characterized by strong diurnal and seasonal periodicities. Accurate forecasting requires accounting for time varying statistical properties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-28 Cyril Voyant , Candice Banes , Luis Garcia-Gutierrez , Gilles Notton , Milan Despotovic , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

This paper is concerned with online time series forecasting, where unknown distribution shifts occur over time, i.e., latent variables influence the mapping from historical to future observations. To develop an automated way of online time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zijian Li , Changze Zhou , Minghao Fu , Sanjay Manjunath , Fan Feng , Guangyi Chen , Yingyao Hu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Pablo R. Baldivieso Monasterios , Nandor Verba , Euan A Morris , Thomas Morstyn , George. C , . Konstantopoulos , Elena Gaura , Stephen McArthur

Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

With the growing number of forecasting techniques and the increasing significance of forecast-based operation - particularly in the rapidly evolving energy sector - selecting the most effective forecasting model has become a critical task.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Fabian Backhaus , Karoline Brucke , Peter Ruckdeschel , Sunke Schlüters

Weather forecasts are typically given in the form of forecast ensembles obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models with varying initial conditions and physics parameterizations. Such ensemble predictions tend to be…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-13 Sebastian Lerch , Sandor Baran

This translational article documents the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) transition from a restricted data licensing model to open access under CC BY 4.0, completed in October 2025. The policy context included EU…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-22 Emma Pidduck , Umberto Modigliani , Victoria L. Bennett , Fabio Venuti , Florian Pappenberger , Florence Rabier

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments. A review of the relevant open-source tooling shows that existing compliance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , Eva Bartz
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