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The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

We study the persistence exponent for random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) with integer values and for some special random walks in random environment in $\mathbb Z^2$ including random walks in $\mathbb Z^2$ with random orientations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with innovations that follow a Laplace distribution. The persistence probabilities can be computed fully explicitly in terms of classical combinatorial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Frank Aurzada , Kilian Raschel

Recently, Hammond and Sheffield introduced a model of correlated random walks that scale to fractional Brownian motions with long-range dependence. In this paper, we consider a natural generalization of this model to dimension $d\geq 2$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Hermine Biermé , Olivier Durieu , Yizao Wang

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We study exclusion processes on the integer lattice in which particles change their velocities due to stickiness. Specifically, whenever two or more particles occupy adjacent sites, they stick together for an extended period of time, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Miklós Z. Rácz , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Hee-Geon Kang , Sunggon Kim

We investigate a system of Brownian particles weakly bound by attractive parity-symmetric potentials that grow at large distances as $V(x) \sim |x|^\alpha$, with $0 < \alpha < 1$. The probability density function $P(x,t)$ at long times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-24 Lucianno Defaveri , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Saeid Rezakhah , Anne Philippe , Navideh Modarresi

The characteristic feature of the discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes is the invariance of their finite dimensional distributions by dilation for certain scaling factor. DSI process with piecewise linear drift and stationary increments…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

In this paper we investigate the parametric inference for the linear fractional stable motion in high and low frequency setting. The symmetric linear fractional stable motion is a three-parameter family, which constitutes a natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Stepan Mazur , Dmitry Otryakhin , Mark Podolskij

We compute the joint distribution of the first times a linear diffusion makes an excursion longer than some given duration above (resp. below) some fixed level. In the literature, such stopping times have been introduced and studied in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Christophe Profeta

The paper is devoted to the study of the asymptotic behaviour of Moran process in random environment, say random selection. In finite population, the Moran process may be degenerate in finite time, thus we will study its limiting process in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Arnaud Guillin , Arnaud Personne , Edouard Strickler

A particular type of random dynamical processes is considered, in which the stochasticity is introduced through randomly fluctuating parameters. A method of local multipliers is developed for treating the local stability of such dynamical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-25 V. I. Yukalov

We consider continuous state branching processes that are perturbed by a Brownian motion. These processes are constructed as the unique strong solution of a stochastic differential equation. The long-term extinction and explosion behaviours…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

This article extends the results of Fang & Zeitouni (2012a) on branching random walks (BRWs) with Gaussian increments in time inhomogeneous environments. We treat the case where the variance of the increments changes a finite number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Frédéric Ouimet

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola
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