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Bounded confidence opinion dynamics model the propagation of information in social networks. However in the existing literature, opinions are only viewed as abstract quantities without semantics rather than as part of a decision-making…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Kush R. Varshney

Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

Information-theoretic Bayesian optimisation techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in tackling important global optimisation problems. However, current information-theoretic approaches require many approximations in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Binxin Ru , Mark McLeod , Diego Granziol , Michael A. Osborne

Aligning AI systems to users' interests requires understanding and incorporating humans' complex values and preferences. Recently, language models (LMs) have been used to gather information about the preferences of human users. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Kunal Handa , Yarin Gal , Ellie Pavlick , Noah Goodman , Jacob Andreas , Alex Tamkin , Belinda Z. Li

This paper implements the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) algorithm for computing optimal policies for partially observable single-product periodic review inventory control problems with setup costs and backorders. The decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Eugene Feinberg , Jefferson Huang , Pavlo Kasyanov , Thomas O'Neill

We consider the well-studied dueling bandit problem, where a learner aims to identify near-optimal actions using pairwise comparisons, under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider a general class of utility-based preference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Aadirupa Saha , Hilal Asi

Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

Motivation: Several different threads of research have been proposed for modeling and mining temporal data. On the one hand, approaches such as dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) provide a formal probabilistic basis to model relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-15 Debprakash Patnaik , Srivatsan Laxman , Naren Ramakrishnan

Social media have a great potential to improve information dissemination in our society, yet, they have been held accountable for a number of undesirable effects, such as polarization and filter bubbles. It is thus important to understand…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Antonis Matakos , Aristides Gionis

We study a censored variant of the data-driven newsvendor problem, where the decision-maker must select an ordering quantity that minimizes expected overage and underage costs based only on offline censored sales data, rather than…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Chamsi Hssaine , Sean R. Sinclair

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

Dyadic Data Prediction (DDP) is an important problem in many research areas. This paper develops a novel fully Bayesian nonparametric framework which integrates two popular and complementary approaches, discrete mixed membership modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-15 Guangyong Chen , Fengyuan Zhu , Pheng Ann Heng

The dueling bandit problem, an essential variation of the traditional multi-armed bandit problem, has become significantly prominent recently due to its broad applications in online advertising, recommendation systems, information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Bongsoo Yi , Yue Kang , Yao Li

We study online Bayesian persuasion problems in which an informed sender repeatedly faces a receiver with the goal of influencing their behavior through the provision of payoff-relevant information. Previous works assume that the sender has…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Francesco Bacchiocchi , Matteo Bollini , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

We propose a novel randomized linear programming algorithm for approximating the optimal policy of the discounted Markov decision problem. By leveraging the value-policy duality and binary-tree data structures, the algorithm adaptively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Mengdi Wang

In this paper, we revisit the parameter learning problem, namely the estimation of model parameters for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). DBNs are directed graphical models of stochastic processes that encompasses and generalize Hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 E. Benhamou , J. Atif , R. Laraki

Model informed precision dosing (MIPD) is a Bayesian framework to individualize drug therapy based on prior knowledge and patient-specific monitoring data. Typically, prior knowledge results from controlled clinical trials with a more…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-27 Franziska Thoma , Niklas Hartung , Manfred Opper , Wilhelm Huisinga

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu